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Walmart Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

WMT
NASDAQConsumer DefensiveDiscount StoresCIK 0000104169corporate.walmart.comAbout WMT
Last close · Oct 16, 2026118.81+0.94 (+0.80%)
Market cap$945.5B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
38.56
Walmart closed at $118.81 — overvalued by 208% vs model.
23.34the model's range102.29

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
18.85 – 118.21
Wall St. target
129.00 8% below
Above model, 1y
22 of 22 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
0.82%
Past 2 years
low 0.70%high 1.17%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$0.73Aug ’21$0.74Aug ’22$0.76Aug ’23$0.81Aug ’24$0.91Aug ’25$0.98TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2026
50.3%
Raised
50 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
6.0% a year
Last change
+5.3% · Mar 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.2475, paid Sep 8, 2026

Research on WMT

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & stable
Low/slowing growth (~5% recent)Thin margins (3.1% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2026 · chosen for mature companies
P/E
43.5×
EV / EBITDA
21.3×
FCF yield
1.6%
Dividend yield, TTM
0.82%
Beta
0.58
Cost of capital (WACC)
7.87%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-15Deutsche Bank · “Buy” from “Hold”upgrade
10-15Deutsche Bank · target136.00
08-21Deutsche Bank · target113.00
08-21Jefferies · target120.00
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
5 more companies list WMT as a comparable

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just WMT. No account.

About Walmart

Walmart Inc., established in 1945 and based in Bentonville, Arkansas, operates as a global retail powerhouse, having officially adopted its current name in February 2018, formerly Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. The company's diverse operations, encompassing retail, wholesale, and e-commerce, are managed across three primary divisions: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. Its extensive physical presence includes a variety of store formats such as supercenters, supermarkets, hypermarkets, membership-only warehouse clubs (like Sam's Club), cash-and-carry outlets, and discount stores, primarily operating under the Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market banners. Digitally, the company engages customers through numerous e-commerce platforms, including walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, flipkart.com, and PhonePe, as well as via dedicated mobile applications. Walmart offers an exceptionally broad range of products and services. Its inventory covers groceries and daily consumables, such as dairy, meats, baked goods, deli items, fresh produce, various packaged foods (dry, chilled, or frozen), alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, floral items, snacks, candies, health and beauty aids, paper products, laundry and home care essentials, baby care, and pet supplies, alongside fuel and tobacco. Furthermore, it features a comprehensive health and wellness segment, providing pharmacy, optical, and hearing services, over-the-counter medications, and other medical products. For home and personal needs, shoppers can find items ranging from home improvement goods, outdoor living products, gardening supplies, furniture, apparel, and jewelry, to tools, power equipment, housewares, toys, seasonal items, mattresses, and automotive services like tire and battery centers. The electronics department includes consumer electronics, accessories, software, video games, office supplies, appliances, and third-party gift cards. Beyond merchandise, Walmart provides a suite of financial services. These include digital payment platforms, money transfer options, bill payment services, money orders, check cashing, prepaid access solutions, co-branded credit cards, installment lending, and earned wage access programs. The company also markets several proprietary brands, notably Allswell, Athletic Works, Equate, and Free Assembly.

CEO
John Furner
Headquarters
Bentonville, AR
Employees
2,100,000
IPO
1972-08-25
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.