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Ross Stores, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

ROST
NASDAQConsumer CyclicalApparel - RetailCIK 0000745732rossstores.comAbout ROST
Last close · Oct 16, 2026236.89+2.06 (+0.88%)
Market cap$76.0B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
150.13
Ross Stores closed at $236.89 — overvalued by 58% vs model.
102.20the model's range329.07

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for profitable growth — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
47.07 – 192.73
Wall St. target
282.50 16% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
0.73%
Past 2 years
low 0.67%high 1.22%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$1.14Sep ’21$1.22Sep ’22$1.32Sep ’23$1.44Sep ’24$1.58Sep ’25$1.74TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2026
23.9%
Raised
4 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
8.8% a year
Last change
+9.9% · Mar 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.445, paid Sep 30, 2026

Research on ROST

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How it is valued

Valued asProfitable Growth
Low/slowing growth (~6% recent)Moderate margins (9% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2026
P/E
35.8×
EV / EBITDA
19.4×
FCF yield
2.9%
Dividend yield, TTM
0.73%
Beta
0.84
Cost of capital (WACC)
8.68%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
08-21Evercore ISI · target290.00
08-21Jefferies · target285.00
08-21Deutsche Bank · target294.00
06-23Wells Fargo · “Equal Weight” from “Overweight”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
1 more company lists ROST as a comparable

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just ROST. No account.

About Ross Stores

Ross Stores, Inc., through its various subsidiaries, manages a chain of off-price retail establishments focusing on apparel and home goods. These stores operate under two main brand names: Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS. Their product selection primarily includes clothing, accessories, footwear, and household decor. The Ross Dress for Less outlets primarily serve middle-income households, offering merchandise at prices considerably lower than traditional department and specialty stores. Conversely, dd's DISCOUNTS stores cater to moderate-income households, providing products at prices below those typically found in department and discount stores. As of July 5, 2022, the company had approximately 1,950 stores operating across 40 states, the District of Columbia, and Guam. Ross Stores, Inc. was founded in 1957 and is based in Dublin, California.

CEO
James G. Conroy
Headquarters
Dublin California, CA
Employees
111,000
IPO
1985-08-08
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.