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The TJX Companies, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

TJX
NYSEConsumer CyclicalApparel - RetailCIK 0000109198tjx.comAbout TJX
Last close · Oct 16, 2026147.32+2.74 (+1.90%)
Market cap$162.0B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
109.97
TJX Companies closed at $147.32 — overvalued by 34% vs model.
72.19the model's range263.97

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
48.45 – 149.72
Wall St. target
174.00 15% below
Above model, 1y
8 of 22 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.23%
Past 2 years
low 1.03%high 1.47%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$1.01Aug ’21$1.11Aug ’22$1.26Aug ’23$1.42Aug ’24$1.60Aug ’25$1.81TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2026
37.5%
Raised
29 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
12.4% a year
Last change
+12.9% · May 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.48, paid Sep 3, 2026

Research on TJX

No posts on TJX yet.
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How it is valued

Valued asMature & Stable
Low/slowing growth (~6% recent)Moderate margins (9% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2026
P/E
30.3×
EV / EBITDA
18.6×
FCF yield
3.0%
Dividend yield, TTM
1.23%
Beta
0.56
Cost of capital (WACC)
7.94%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
08-31Guggenheim · target152.00
08-26Jefferies · “Hold” from “Buy”downgrade
08-26Jefferies · target145.00
08-25Bernstein · target175.00
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
1 more company lists TJX as a comparable

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just TJX. No account.

About TJX Companies

The TJX Companies, Inc., alongside its various associated businesses, functions as a major discount retailer focusing on clothing and household decor. Its operations are organized into four primary divisions: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International. The enterprise markets an extensive selection of goods, including clothing for all family members (such as shoes and complementary items); a broad array of home furnishings and accessories (ranging from essential household goods, furniture, floor coverings, and lighting fixtures to gift items, soft textiles, decorative pieces, dining wares, and kitchen utensils), alongside growing departments for pet supplies, children's products, and gourmet foodstuffs. Jewelry, additional accessories, and various general merchandise are also available. By the close of February 23, 2022, TJX maintained a considerable retail network across several continents. In the United States, this footprint included 1,284 T.J. Maxx, 1,148 Marshalls, 850 HomeGoods, 59 Sierra, and 39 Homesense physical stores, complemented by online portals like tjmaxx.com, marshalls.com, and sierra.com. Its Canadian presence featured 293 Winners, 147 HomeSense, and 106 Marshalls outlets. European consumers could visit 618 T.K. Maxx and 77 Homesense locations, with an e-commerce option at tkmaxx.com. Furthermore, Australia hosted 68 T.K. Maxx establishments. Established in 1962, the firm's corporate headquarters are located in Framingham, Massachusetts.

CEO
Ernie L. Herrman
Headquarters
Framingham, MA
Employees
377,000
IPO
1987-06-26
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.