Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

XOM

NYSEEnergyOil & Gas IntegratedCIK 0002115436corporate.exxonmobil.comAbout XOM

Last close · Oct 16, 2026178.98+4.30 (+2.46%)

Market cap$736.0B

Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y

159.07

ExxonMobil closed at $178.98 — overvalued by 13% vs model.

94.61the model's range385.71

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models

41.97 – 179.79

Wall St. target

177.00 1% above

Above model, 1y

20 of 21 days

Price and model value

Loading chart…

What the marks mean

Daily close

Valuation models

price $178.98 · as of Oct 17, 2026

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused94.61 – 385.71159.0713% overvalued DCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y87.47 – 322.08139.2029% overvalued DCF · EBITDA exit · 5y38.26 – 153.4390.7897% overvalued DCF · EBITDA exit · 10y52.79 – 151.1494.1490% overvalued P/E · peers117.54 – 195.43130.1837% overvalued P/E · own history114.12 – 166.06132.6335% overvalued PEG—179.79at model EV/EBITDA · peers114.66 – 151.75122.0547% overvalued EV/Revenue · peers102.76 – 132.46116.6253% overvalued Earnings power value32.96 – 56.1241.97326% overvalued Dividend discount57.06 – 171.4486.06108% overvalued Wall St. consensus target—177.001% above Cost of capital (WACC)—6.76%—

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How we value a stock walks through every input.

engine pkg:0.1.0

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026

Yield, trailing 12 months

2.30%

Past 2 years

low 2.30%high 3.88%

Today is at its 2-year low.

Dividends per share, a year at a time

Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025: 73.0%
Raised: 24 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs: 3.4% a year
Last change: +4.0% · Nov 2025

Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $1.03, paid Sep 10, 2026

Research on XOM

No posts on XOM yet.

Studied XOM from its filings? Guest posts are reviewed before they go live.Write about XOM →

How it is valued

Valued asCyclical

Revenue declining (~-2% recent)Moderate margins (9% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings

What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for cyclical companies

P/E

26.7×

EV / EBITDA

11.3×

FCF yield

3.1%

Dividend yield, TTM

2.30%

Beta

0.17

Cost of capital (WACC)

6.76%

On the lists: #17 Largest companies · #6 Near 52-week highs · #48 Best performing this year

Full financials

Superinvestors

13F · Q2 2026

First EagleFirst Eagle Investment Management, LLC$828.1M Richard PzenaPzena Investment Management LLC$80.6M BridgewaterBridgewater Associates, LP$29.6M Thomas RussoGardner Russo & Quinn LLC$24.8M

All 11 holders

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted

10-16Goldman Sachs · target169.00

10-01Wells Fargo · “Equal Weight” from “Overweight”downgrade

09-25UBS · target172.00

09-25HSBC · target90.00

Ratings, targets and estimates

Recent

filings, insider trades and key news

10-168-K · 7.01Regulation FD Disclosure 10-16DEFA14AAdditional proxy materials 09-258-K · 8.01Other Events 08-288-K · 8.01Other Events 08-0310-QQuarterly report

7 filings · 0 insider transactions

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label

CVXChevron COPConocoPhillips OXYOccidental Petroleum EOGEOG Resources MPCMarathon Petroleum PSXPhillips 66 VLOValero Energy DOWDow

2 more companies list XOM as a comparable

SLBSLB LYBLyondellBasell

Side by side:vs CVX vs COP

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just XOM. No account.

About ExxonMobil

Exxon Mobil Corporation is a global energy firm that undertakes the exploration and extraction of oil and natural gas resources across its domestic operations and international territories. The company organizes its vast activities into three primary divisions: Upstream, Downstream, and Chemical. Beyond resource acquisition, Exxon Mobil is deeply engaged in the manufacturing, commercial trading, logistical transportation, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas, refined petroleum goods, a wide array of petrochemicals (including olefins, polyolefins, and aromatics), and other specialized chemical products. Furthermore, the company is actively developing solutions in carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, and biofuels. As of December 31, 2021, the corporation maintained approximately 20,528 net operational wells with verified reserves. Founded in 1870, Exxon Mobil's corporate headquarters are located in Irving, Texas.

CEO: Darren W. Woods
Headquarters: Spring, TX
Employees: 57,900
IPO: 1978-01-13

Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.