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Chevron Corporation — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

CVX
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas IntegratedCIK 0000093410chevron.comAbout CVX
Last close · Oct 16, 2026224.98+5.66 (+2.58%)
Market cap$444.5B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
206.90
Chevron closed at $224.98 — overvalued by 9% vs model.
127.11the model's range533.17

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
34.82 – 319.03
Wall St. target
230.00 2% below
Above model, 1y
16 of 21 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
3.13%
Past 2 years
low 3.13%high 4.94%
Today is at its 2-year low.
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$5.26Aug ’21$5.60Aug ’22$5.95Aug ’23$6.40Aug ’24$6.76Aug ’25$7.05TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
76.9%
Raised
38 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
6.0% a year
Last change
+4.1% · Feb 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $1.78, paid Sep 10, 2026

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How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-3% recent)Moderate margins (7% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for cyclical companies
P/E
33.9×
EV / EBITDA
11.8×
FCF yield
4.0%
Dividend yield, TTM
3.13%
Beta
0.52
Cost of capital (WACC)
7.43%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-12Mizuho Securities · target234.00
10-08UBS · target235.00
09-25HSBC · target90.00
07-02Wolfe Research · “Outperform” from “Peer Perform”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
1 more company lists CVX as a comparable
Side by side:vs XOMvs COPvs OXY

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just CVX. No account.

About Chevron

Chevron Corporation functions as a global energy and chemicals powerhouse, orchestrating its diverse operations worldwide. The company's business is organized into two primary divisions: Upstream and Downstream. The Upstream segment focuses on the full lifecycle of crude oil and natural gas, from their initial exploration and development to production and subsequent transportation. This also encompasses the processing, liquefaction, transit, and regasification of liquefied natural gas (LNG), as well as pipeline transport of crude oil and the movement, storage, and sale of natural gas. Additionally, this segment manages a facility dedicated to converting natural gas into liquid fuels. In contrast, the Downstream segment is tasked with refining crude oil into a variety of petroleum products. Its activities include the merchandising of crude oil, refined goods, and lubricants, in addition to the creation and distribution of renewable fuels. This division is also responsible for moving crude oil and refined products using a range of methods, including pipelines, ships, motor vehicles, and rail cars. Furthermore, it produces and markets bulk petrochemicals, industrial-grade plastics, and additives for both fuels and lubricants. Beyond these core ventures, Chevron is also involved in financial management, debt financing, insurance underwriting, real estate development, and various technology-driven enterprises. Founded in 1879, the company operated as ChevronTexaco Corporation until it officially became Chevron Corporation in 2005. Its corporate headquarters are situated in San Ramon, California.

CEO
Michael K. Wirth
Headquarters
Houston, TX
Employees
43,039
IPO
1921-06-24
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.