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LyondellBasell Industries N.V. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

LYB
NYSEBasic MaterialsChemicals - SpecialtyCIK 0001489393lyondellbasell.comAbout LYB
Last close · Oct 16, 202664.01+1.34 (+2.14%)
Market cap$20.7B
Model value · EV/Revenue · peers
36.19
LyondellBasell closed at $64.01 — overvalued by 77% vs model.
17.15the model's range55.24

EV/Revenue · peers leads because DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y could not lead: the cash-flow gate is shut (an operating loss, or three years of free cash flow summing below zero); P/E · peers does not describe this kind of business; EV/EBITDA · peers could not run on the filed statements. From its peers' median EV/Revenue.

Other models
—
Wall St. target
67.00 4% below
Above model, 1y
5 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Valuation models

price $64.01 · as of Oct 17, 2026

EV/Revenue · peers leads because DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y could not lead: the cash-flow gate is shut (an operating loss, or three years of free cash flow summing below zero); P/E · peers does not describe this kind of business; EV/EBITDA · peers could not run on the filed statements. How we value a stock walks through every input.

engine pkg:0.1.0

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
5.37%
#21 · Highest dividend yield
Past 2 years
low 5.17%high 12.89%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$4.36Aug ’21$9.84Aug ’22$4.88Aug ’23$5.18Aug ’24$5.42Aug ’25$3.44TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
459.4%
Raised
14+ years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
-4.6% a year
Last change
−49.6% · Mar 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.69, paid Aug 31, 2026

Research on LYB

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How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-14% recent)Currently unprofitableStrong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for cyclical companies
P/E
—
EV / EBITDA
25.5×
FCF yield
1.9%
Dividend yield, TTM
5.37%
Beta
0.35
Cost of capital (WACC)
6.11%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-13RBC Capital · target68.00
10-12Barclays · target66.00
09-30Citigroup · “Neutral” from “Buy”downgrade
09-25UBS · target62.00
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
1 more company lists LYB as a comparable
Side by side:vs DOW

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About LyondellBasell

LyondellBasell Industries N.V., established in 2009 and based in Houston, Texas, operates as a prominent global chemical manufacturer with a significant international footprint, including the United States, Germany, Mexico, Italy, Poland, France, Japan, China, and the Netherlands. The company's diverse operations are organized into six distinct segments. Its core business involves the production and marketing of olefins and various polyolefins, such as high, low, and linear low-density polyethylene, along with polypropylene homopolymers and copolymers, for markets spanning the Americas, Europe, and Asia. LyondellBasell also focuses on intermediate chemicals and derivatives, offering products like propylene oxide, oxyfuels, styrene monomers, acetyls, and ethylene-based compounds. Furthermore, the company develops and sells advanced polymer solutions, including polypropylene compounds, engineered plastics, masterbatches, engineered composites, colors, and powders. Its activities extend to refining crude oil into gasoline and distillates, as well as the development and licensing of chemical and polyolefin process technologies, alongside the manufacturing and sale of polyolefin catalysts.

CEO
Peter Z. E. Vanacker
Headquarters
Rotterdam, TX
Employees
18,970
IPO
2010-04-28
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.