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Dow Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

DOW
NYSEBasic MaterialsChemicalsCIK 0001751788dow.comAbout DOW
Last close · Oct 16, 202629.93+0.27 (+0.91%)
Market cap$21.6B
Model value · EV/Revenue · peers
90.04
Dow closed at $29.93 — undervalued by 67% vs model.
82.27the model's range93.27

EV/Revenue · peers leads because DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y could not lead: the cash-flow gate is shut (an operating loss, or three years of free cash flow summing below zero); P/E · peers does not describe this kind of business; EV/EBITDA · peers could not run on the filed statements. From its peers' median EV/Revenue.

Other models
—
Wall St. target
32.00 6% below
Below model, 1y
17 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Valuation models

price $29.93 · as of Oct 17, 2026

EV/Revenue · peers leads because DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y could not lead: the cash-flow gate is shut (an operating loss, or three years of free cash flow summing below zero); P/E · peers does not describe this kind of business; EV/EBITDA · peers could not run on the filed statements. How we value a stock walks through every input.

engine pkg:0.1.0

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
4.68%
#34 · Highest dividend yield
Past 2 years
low 3.95%high 13.42%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.80Aug ’21$2.80Aug ’22$2.80Aug ’23$2.80Aug ’24$2.45Aug ’25$1.40TTM
Coverage
—
Raised
—
Growth, 5 yrs
-12.9% a year
Last change
−50.0% · Aug 2025
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.35, paid Sep 11, 2026

Research on DOW

No posts on DOW yet.
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How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-5% recent)Currently unprofitableStrong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earningsNegative free cash flow
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for cyclical companies
P/E
—
EV / EBITDA
30.2×
FCF yield
-6.8%
Dividend yield, TTM
4.68%
Beta
0.41
Cost of capital (WACC)
6.34%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-12Barclays · target30.00
10-01Mizuho Securities · target32.00
09-30Citigroup · “Neutral” from “Buy”downgrade
09-25UBS · target30.00
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
5 more companies list DOW as a comparable
Side by side:vs LYB

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just DOW. No account.

About Dow

Dow Inc. is a global leader in materials science, delivering diverse solutions for key industries such as packaging, infrastructure development, mobility, and consumer products. The company's reach extends across numerous regions, including the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, India, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Its operations are structured into three main divisions: Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings. The Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment is responsible for producing foundational chemicals like ethylene, propylene, and aromatics, along with a range of polymers including polyethylene, polyolefin elastomers, ethylene vinyl acetate, and ethylene propylene diene monomer rubbers. The Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure segment offers a broad spectrum of products, from ethylene and propylene oxides, propylene glycol, and polyether polyols to aromatic isocyanates and comprehensive polyurethane systems. This division also provides coatings, adhesives, sealants, elastomers, and composite materials, alongside essential chemicals such as caustic soda, ethylene dichloride, and vinyl chloride monomers. Additionally, it supplies specialized products like cellulose ethers, redispersible latex powders, and acrylic emulsions. The Performance Materials & Coatings division focuses on architectural and industrial paint and coating solutions, catering to diverse applications including maintenance, protective finishes, wood, metal packaging, traffic markings, thermal paper, and leather goods. This segment also develops high-performance silicones, specialty materials, and the necessary feedstocks and intermediates for silicone production. In addition to its core materials science endeavors, Dow Inc. also engages in the property and casualty insurance, and reinsurance businesses. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Midland, Michigan.

CEO
Karen S. Carter
Headquarters
Midland, MI
Employees
32,800
IPO
2019-03-20
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.