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Occidental Petroleum Corporation — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

OXY
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionCIK 0000797468oxy.comAbout OXY
Last close · Oct 16, 202662.38+1.71 (+2.82%)
Market cap$62.4B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
88.95
Occidental Petroleum closed at $62.38 — undervalued by 30% vs model.
42.23the model's range173.35

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
19.92 – 166.92
Wall St. target
70.00 11% below
Below model, 1y
11 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.67%
Past 2 years
low 1.36%high 2.49%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$0.04Sep ’21$0.40Sep ’22$0.67Sep ’23$0.84Sep ’24$0.94Sep ’25$1.04TTM
Coverage
—
Raised
4 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
91.9% a year
Last change
+7.7% · Sep 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.28, paid Oct 15, 2026

Research on OXY

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How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-13% recent)Moderate margins (11% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (6.6%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for cyclical companies
P/E
38.7×
EV / EBITDA
7.1×
FCF yield
6.7%
Dividend yield, TTM
1.67%
Beta
0.16
Cost of capital (WACC)
5.99%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-16Roth Capital · target70.00
10-15Morgan Stanley · target71.00
10-15Truist Financial · target64.00
10-01Goldman Sachs · “Buy” from “Neutral”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
2 more companies list OXY as a comparable
Side by side:vs CVX

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just OXY. No account.

About Occidental Petroleum

Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States and internationally. It operates through Oil and Gas and Midstream and Marketing. The Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. This segment also optimizes its transportation and storage capacity and invests in entities. The Midstream and Marketing segment purchases, markets, gathers, processes, transports and stores oil, condensate, NGLs, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. Occidental Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

CEO
Richard A. Jackson
Headquarters
Houston, TX
Employees
10,412
IPO
1981-12-31
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.