SweetValueLab
Write for us

Alphabet Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

GOOGL
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationCIK 0001652044abc.xyzAbout GOOGL
Last close · Oct 16, 2026340.59−8.63 (−2.47%)
Market cap$4.1T
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
225.26
Alphabet (Class A) closed at $340.59 — overvalued by 51% vs model.
153.54the model's range429.60

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for profitable growth — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
14.89 – 477.89
Wall St. target
422.50 19% below
Above model, 1y
97 of 97 days

Price and model value

Embed this card

GOOGL's close against its model value, as a 420×168 card for your own page. It updates nightly with this site and links back here.

Free to embed; keep the attribution link.
Loading chart…
What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
0.25%
Past 2 years
low 0.21%high 0.55%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$0.82Sep ’25$0.86TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
13.7%
Raised
1+ years in a row
Growth, 1 yr
4.9% a year
Last change
+4.8% · Jun 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.22, paid Sep 14, 2026

Research on GOOGL

3 posts
Anthropic's $16.8B quarter: the investor day numbers
What attendees of Anthropic's October 14 investor day reported: Q3 revenue of $16.8B, an 11% adjusted margin, $1.70 per compute dollar, a slower pace.
Allen Yan · · 10 min · 中文
Anthropic's IPO prospectus: the numbers behind the $42B loss
Anthropic's confidential S-1 as Reuters reported it on Sep 28-29, 2026: the income statement, $518B of compute commitments by partner, and the Founder LLC vote.
Allen Yan · · 8 min · 中文
期权:从原理到第一笔交易
一场 30 分钟的期权入门分享:期权市场怎么来的、买方与卖方、Call 与 Put、实值平值虚值,再用一笔 GOOGL 现金担保卖 put 逐日推演 36 天的账户变化。
Allen Yan · · 24 slides
Studied GOOGL from its filings? Guest posts are reviewed before they go live.Write about GOOGL →

How it is valued

Valued asProfitable Growth
Moderate growth (~14% recent)High profitability (33% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025
P/E
31.5×
EV / EBITDA
23.2×
FCF yield
1.8%
Dividend yield, TTM
0.25%
Beta
1.21
Cost of capital (WACC)
9.74%
On the lists: #3 Largest companies
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-14UBS · target380.00
10-06Wells Fargo · target417.00
09-17Tigress Financial · target485.00
05-04Freedom Broker · “Hold” from “Buy”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just GOOGL. No account.

About Alphabet (Class A)

Alphabet Inc. provides a diverse range of products and digital platforms to consumers across multiple global regions, including North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The company's operations are organized into three primary divisions: Google Services, Google Cloud, and "Other Bets." The Google Services segment delivers core offerings such as its advertising solutions, the Android operating system, the Chrome browser, and various hardware. It also features popular applications like Gmail, Google Drive, Google Maps, Google Photos, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. This division further handles the sale of applications, in-app purchases, and digital content via the Google Play store, alongside marketing devices such as Fitbit wearables, Google Nest smart home products, Pixel smartphones, and other proprietary hardware. It also provides non-advertising services for YouTube. The Google Cloud segment offers a comprehensive suite of infrastructure, platform, and other cloud computing services for businesses. This includes Google Workspace, a collection of cloud-native collaboration tools for enterprises, featuring applications like Gmail, Docs, Drive, Calendar, and Meet, among other specialized services for corporate clients. Lastly, the "Other Bets" segment is engaged in developing and selling health technology and internet services. Established in 1998, Alphabet Inc. maintains its principal executive offices in Mountain View, California.

CEO
Sundar Pichai
Headquarters
Mountain View, CA
Employees
198,933
IPO
2004-08-19
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.