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Lowe's Companies, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

LOW
NYSEConsumer CyclicalHome ImprovementCIK 0000060667lowes.comAbout LOW
Last close · Oct 16, 2026197.31+1.59 (+0.81%)
Market cap$110.7B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
223.29
Lowe's closed at $197.31 — undervalued by 12% vs model.
122.34the model's range616.19

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for dividend payer — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
74.26 – 316.70
Wall St. target
247.00 20% below
Below model, 1y
22 of 22 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
2.46%
Past 2 years
low 1.57%high 2.70%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.60Jul ’21$3.45Jul ’22$4.25Jul ’23$4.45Jul ’24$4.65Jul ’25$4.85TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2026
34.5%
Raised
30 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
13.3% a year
Last change
+4.2% · Jul 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $1.25, paid Aug 5, 2026

Research on LOW

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How it is valued

Valued asDividend Payer
Revenue declining (~-0% recent)Moderate margins (8% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 5.0x)Strong FCF yield (6.9%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2026
P/E
16.7×
EV / EBITDA
12.0×
FCF yield
6.9%
Dividend yield, TTM
2.46%
Beta
0.88
Cost of capital (WACC)
7.56%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-06Melius Research · target244.00
10-06Evercore ISI · target190.00
09-24Gordon Haskett Capital Corporation · target200.00
05-12Citigroup · “Buy” from “Neutral”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
2 more companies list LOW as a comparable
Side by side:vs HD

The weekly

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About Lowe's

Lowe's Companies, Inc., together with its various subsidiary entities, operates as a prominent home improvement retailer serving both the United States and international markets. The company supplies a broad spectrum of items essential for construction, upkeep, renovations, and interior design projects. Its comprehensive product line encompasses major appliances, seasonal and outdoor living essentials, lawn and garden tools, timber, kitchen and bathroom fixtures, power tools, paints, custom millwork, general hardware, flooring options, plumbing components, building materials, decorative accents, lighting solutions, and electrical supplies. In addition to merchandise, Lowe's facilitates installation services through independent contractors across numerous product categories, offers extended protection plans, and provides repair services covering both warranty and post-warranty issues. The company markets its inventory, comprising both well-known national brands and proprietary private-label items, to a diverse clientele including individual homeowners, tenants, and trade professionals. As of January 28, 2022, Lowe's operated 1,971 retail locations dedicated to home improvement and hardware. Products are also accessible via its e-commerce platforms, Lowes.com and Lowesforpros.com, and through its mobile applications. Established in 1921, Lowe's Companies, Inc. maintains its headquarters in Mooresville, North Carolina.

CEO
Marvin R. Ellison
Headquarters
Mooresville, NC
Employees
276,000
IPO
1980-03-17
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.