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Williams-Sonoma, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

WSM
NYSEConsumer CyclicalSpecialty RetailCIK 0000719955williams-sonomainc.comAbout WSM
Last close · Oct 16, 2026250.16−1.11 (−0.44%)
Market cap$29.5B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
123.01
Williams-Sonoma closed at $250.16 — overvalued by 103% vs model.
95.16the model's range183.65

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
55.97 – 206.41
Wall St. target
260.00 4% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.18%
Past 2 years
low 1.04%high 1.72%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$1.21Oct ’21$1.53Oct ’22$1.74Oct ’23$2.16Oct ’24$2.55Oct ’25$2.94TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2026
30.0%
Raised
19+ years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
19.4% a year
Last change
+15.2% · Apr 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.76, paid Nov 20, 2026

Research on WSM

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How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Low/slowing growth (~0% recent)Moderate margins (14% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2026 · chosen for cyclical companies
P/E
28.3×
EV / EBITDA
16.9×
FCF yield
3.5%
Dividend yield, TTM
1.18%
Beta
1.47
Cost of capital (WACC)
10.53%
Full financials

Superinvestors

13F

None of the tracked managers reported a position in their latest 13F.

All 0 holders

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
09-02Argus Research · target250.00
08-27Evercore ISI · target245.00
08-27Morgan Stanley · target240.00
07-27Piper Sandler · “Overweight” from “Neutral”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
1 more company lists WSM as a comparable

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just WSM. No account.

About Williams-Sonoma

Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (WSM) functions as a specialized, multi-channel retailer offering a diverse array of products for the home. Its flagship Williams Sonoma brand is renowned for cooking, dining, and entertaining essentials, such as cookware, culinary tools, small appliances, flatware, dinnerware, barware, outdoor furnishings, and an extensive collection of cookbooks. This brand also provides home furnishings and decorative accents. The popular Pottery Barn brand features furniture, bedding, lighting, rugs, table linens, and decorative items. Targeting younger demographics, Pottery Barn Kids offers children's accessories, while Pottery Barn Teen caters to adolescents with products ranging from organic bedding to versatile, multi-purpose furniture. Furthermore, West Elm contributes a selection of stylish home decor to the company's portfolio. Complementing these are Rejuvenation, specializing in historically inspired, made-to-order lighting, hardware, furniture, and home accents, and Mark and Graham, which provides personalized accessories for women and men, travel goods, entertaining and bar essentials, home decor, and seasonal merchandise. The company also maintains an innovative 3-D imaging and augmented reality platform for the broader home furnishings and decor sector. Williams-Sonoma distributes its products through a robust omni-channel strategy, encompassing e-commerce platforms, direct-mail catalogs, and physical retail locations. The company boasts a significant retail footprint with 544 company-owned stores, including 502 across 41 U.S. states, Washington D.C., and Puerto Rico, alongside 20 in Canada, 19 in Australia, and 3 in the United Kingdom. An additional 139 franchised stores operate internationally, and the company extends its reach through e-commerce websites in countries like those in the Middle East, the Philippines, Mexico, South Korea, and India. Established in 1956, Williams-Sonoma, Inc. is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

CEO
Laura J. Alber
Headquarters
San Francisco, CA
Employees
19,800
IPO
1983-07-07
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.