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Mondelez International, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

MDLZ
NASDAQConsumer DefensiveFood ConfectionersCIK 0001103982mondelezinternational.comAbout MDLZ
Last close · Oct 16, 202663.91+0.88 (+1.40%)
Market cap$81.6B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
34.05
Mondelez closed at $63.91 — overvalued by 88% vs model.
15.29the model's range99.94

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
29.45 – 62.48
Wall St. target
72.00 11% below
Above model, 1y
16 of 21 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
3.16%
Past 2 years
low 2.25%high 3.77%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$1.30Sep ’21$1.44Sep ’22$1.58Sep ’23$1.75Sep ’24$1.91Sep ’25$2.02TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
76.9%
Raised
12 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
9.3% a year
Last change
+4.0% · Sep 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.52, paid Oct 14, 2026

Research on MDLZ

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & stable
Low/slowing growth (~3% recent)Moderate margins (6% net margin)Strong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for mature companies
P/E
33.8×
EV / EBITDA
21.6×
FCF yield
3.9%
Dividend yield, TTM
3.16%
Beta
0.39
Cost of capital (WACC)
6.76%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
07-30Barclays · target70.00
07-29Coker Palmer · target72.00
07-29UBS · target68.00
03-25Rothschild & Co · “Neutral” from “Buy”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
2 more companies list MDLZ as a comparable

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just MDLZ. No account.

About Mondelez

Mondelez International, Inc. operates as a prominent global entity in the snack and beverage sector, focusing on the production, promotion, and distribution of a wide array of food items. Its extensive reach spans multiple continents, including North America, Latin America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. The company's diverse product portfolio encompasses biscuits (such as cookies, crackers, and various savory snacks), chocolates, chewing gums, candies, as well as selection of cheese and general grocery products, and powdered beverage mixes. Among its well-recognized brands are Cadbury, Milka, and Toblerone chocolates; Oreo, belVita, and LU biscuits; Halls candies; Trident chewing gum; and Tang powdered beverages. Mondelez distributes its offerings through a comprehensive network of retail outlets, catering to a broad spectrum of clients including large supermarket chains, wholesalers, supercenters, club stores, mass merchandisers, convenience stores, petrol stations, pharmacies, discount stores, and other food retailers. This complex distribution system leverages direct store delivery, proprietary and external warehousing solutions, third-party distributors, independent sales agents, and digital e-commerce platforms. Established in 2000, the company was initially known as Kraft Foods Inc. before officially changing its name to Mondelez International, Inc. in October 2012. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Chicago, Illinois.

CEO
Dirk van de Put
Headquarters
Chicago, IL
Employees
91,000
IPO
2001-06-13
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.