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General Mills, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

GIS
NYSEConsumer DefensivePackaged FoodsCIK 0000040704generalmills.comAbout GIS
Last close · Oct 16, 202633.13+0.25 (+0.76%)
Market cap$17.7B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
23.38
General Mills closed at $33.13 — overvalued by 42% vs model.
23.38the model's range58.54

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
8.30 – 48.43
Wall St. target
36.00 8% below
Above model, 1y
16 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
7.36%
#2 · Highest dividend yield
Past 2 years
low 3.15%high 7.70%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.04Oct ’21$2.10Oct ’22$2.26Oct ’23$2.38Oct ’24$2.42Oct ’25$2.44TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2026
80.9%
Raised
6 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
3.6% a year
Last change
+1.7% · Jul 2025
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.61, paid Nov 2, 2026

Research on GIS

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & stable
Revenue declining (~-4% recent)Currently unprofitableStrong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (9.2%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2026 · chosen for mature companies
P/E
—
EV / EBITDA
9.2×
FCF yield
9.0%
Dividend yield, TTM
7.36%
Beta
-0.05
Cost of capital (WACC)
5.00%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
09-25Barclays · target37.00
09-24Deutsche Bank · target34.00
09-24Bernstein · target30.00
03-12Wells Fargo · “Underweight” from “Equal Weight”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
1 more company lists GIS as a comparable

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just GIS. No account.

About General Mills

General Mills, Inc. functions as a prominent global producer and vendor of well-known consumer food brands. The company structures its widespread operations into five main divisions: North American retail, convenience stores and foodservice providers, Europe and Australia, Asia and Latin America, and a dedicated pet segment. Their broad catalog of products features a diverse range of items for consumers. This includes breakfast cereals, chilled yogurts, various soups, and ready-to-prepare meal kits. The offering also extends to refrigerated and frozen dough items, baking and dessert mixes, flours for culinary use, frozen pizzas and pizza snacks, along with an assortment of snack bars, fruit snacks, savory and grain snacks, and ice cream. For health-conscious consumers, they provide nutrition bars and wellness beverages, in addition to organic frozen and shelf-stable vegetables. Beyond direct consumer sales, General Mills supplies both branded and unbranded food goods to the North American foodservice sector and commercial bakeries. Furthermore, they are a significant participant in the pet food industry, manufacturing a variety of dog and cat food products. The company markets its merchandise under an extensive collection of trademarks, such as: Annie's, Betty Crocker, Bisquick, Blue Buffalo, Blue Basics, Blue Freedom, Bugles, Cascadian Farm, Cheerios, Chex, Cinnamon Toast Crunch, Cocoa Puffs, Cookie Crisp, EPIC, Fiber One, Food Should Taste Good, Fruit by the Foot, Fruit Gushers, Fruit Roll-Ups, Gardetto's, Go-Gurt, Gold Medal, Golden Grahams, Häagen-Dazs, Helpers, Jus-Rol, Kitano, Kix, Lärabar, Latina, Liberté, Lucky Charms, Muir Glen, Nature Valley, Oatmeal Crisp, Old El Paso, Oui, Pillsbury, Progresso, Raisin Nut Bran, Total, Totino's, Trix, Wanchai Ferry, Wheaties, Wilderness, Yoki, and Yoplait. General Mills distributes its products through a vast network, utilizing both direct sales and arrangements with brokers and distributors. Their reach encompasses a wide array of sales points, including traditional grocery stores, large-scale mass merchandisers, membership clubs, natural food retailers, online marketplaces, various commercial and non-commercial foodservice distributors and operators, restaurants, convenience stores, specialized pet stores, as well as drug, dollar, and discount retail chains. Complementing its extensive business, the corporation also oversees 466 leased and 392 franchised ice cream parlors. General Mills, Inc., established in 1866, maintains its corporate headquarters in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

CEO
Jeffrey L. Harmening
Headquarters
Minneapolis, MN
Employees
30,000
IPO
1980-03-17
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.