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Domino's Pizza, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

DPZ
NASDAQConsumer CyclicalRestaurantsCIK 0001286681biz.dominos.comAbout DPZ
Last close · Oct 16, 2026308.64+5.55 (+1.83%)
Market cap$10.2B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
330.15
Domino's closed at $308.64 — undervalued by 7% vs model.
167.69the model's range987.87

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
115.80 – 589.76
Wall St. target
340.00 9% below
Below model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
2.50%
Past 2 years
low 1.21%high 2.64%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$3.60Sep ’21$4.24Sep ’22$4.73Sep ’23$5.74Sep ’24$6.73Sep ’25$7.71TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
35.3%
Raised
12 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
16.5% a year
Last change
+14.4% · Mar 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $1.99, paid Sep 30, 2026

Research on DPZ

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & stable
Low/slowing growth (~4% recent)Moderate margins (12% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 5.0x)Strong FCF yield (6.6%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for mature companies
P/E
17.6×
EV / EBITDA
14.1×
FCF yield
6.4%
Dividend yield, TTM
2.50%
Beta
0.95
Cost of capital (WACC)
7.45%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-14Mizuho Securities · target380.00
10-14BMO Capital · target390.00
10-14RBC Capital · target320.00
08-24Baird · “Neutral” from “Outperform”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just DPZ. No account.

About Domino's

Domino's Pizza, Inc. operates as a leading international and domestic purveyor of pizza, managing its extensive operations through three distinct segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain. The company is primarily recognized for its Domino's-branded pizzas, which are distributed via a vast network of both corporate-owned and independently franchised outlets. Beyond its flagship product, the menu also encompasses a variety of other offerings, including oven-baked sandwiches, pasta dishes, boneless and winged chicken, various bread and dip accompaniments, desserts, and soft drink beverages. As of January 2, 2022, the enterprise boasted approximately 18,800 locations spanning 90 global markets. Established in 1960, Domino's Pizza, Inc. is headquartered in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

CEO
Joseph Hugh Jordan
Headquarters
Ann Arbor, MI
Employees
10,200
IPO
2004-07-13
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.