SweetValueLab
Write for us

McDonald's Corporation — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

MCD
NYSEConsumer CyclicalRestaurantsCIK 0000063908mcdonalds.comAbout MCD
Last close · Oct 16, 2026242.97+0.47 (+0.19%)
Market cap$171.9B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
248.35
McDonald's closed at $242.97 — undervalued by 2% vs model.
134.90the model's range613.79

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
47.34 – 323.88
Wall St. target
285.00 15% below
Below model, 1y
22 of 22 days

Price and model value

Embed this card

MCD's close against its model value, as a 420×168 card for your own page. It updates nightly with this site and links back here.

Free to embed; keep the attribution link.
Loading chart…
What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
3.06%
Past 2 years
low 2.10%high 3.22%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$5.16Aug ’21$5.52Aug ’22$6.08Aug ’23$6.68Sep ’24$7.08Sep ’25$7.44TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
71.2%
Raised
17 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
7.6% a year
Last change
+5.1% · Dec 2025
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $1.86, paid Sep 16, 2026

Research on MCD

No posts on MCD yet.
Studied MCD from its filings? Guest posts are reviewed before they go live.Write about MCD →

How it is valued

Valued asMature & stable
Low/slowing growth (~3% recent)High profitability (32% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 5.0x)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for mature companies
P/E
20.3×
EV / EBITDA
14.5×
FCF yield
4.1%
Dividend yield, TTM
3.06%
Beta
0.45
Cost of capital (WACC)
6.98%
On the lists: #33 Near 52-week lows
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-08Bernstein · target250.00
10-06KeyBanc · target280.00
10-05Guggenheim · target250.00
04-23Rothschild & Co · “Neutral” from “Sell”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just MCD. No account.

About McDonald's

McDonald's Corporation operates and licenses its renowned fast-food chain worldwide, with a significant presence in both the United States and international markets. Their comprehensive menu offers classic items like hamburgers and cheeseburgers, a variety of chicken options including sandwiches and nuggets, alongside lighter choices such as wraps, french fries, and salads. For breakfast, patrons can select from offerings like biscuit and bagel sandwiches, breakfast burritos, and hotcakes. Additionally, the company provides oatmeal, an assortment of desserts including milkshakes, sundaes, and soft-serve ice cream, plus a selection of baked goods. A wide array of soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages completes their offering. By December 31, 2021, the corporation's global network encompassed 40,031 establishments. McDonald's Corporation, founded in 1940, has its main corporate office located in Chicago, Illinois.

CEO
Christopher J. Kempczinski
Headquarters
Chicago, IL
Employees
150,000
IPO
1965-04-21
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.