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Darden Restaurants, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

DRI
NYSEConsumer CyclicalRestaurantsCIK 0000940944darden.comAbout DRI
Last close · Oct 16, 2026216.35+2.04 (+0.95%)
Market cap$24.5B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
222.51
Darden Restaurants closed at $216.35 — undervalued by 3% vs model.
142.53the model's range503.43

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
46.90 – 358.61
Wall St. target
245.00 12% below
Below model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
2.88%
Past 2 years
low 2.48%high 3.78%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$3.45Oct ’21$4.62Oct ’22$5.04Oct ’23$5.42Oct ’24$5.80Oct ’25$6.24TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2026
61.9%
Raised
5 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
12.6% a year
Last change
+8.0% · Jul 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $1.62, paid Nov 2, 2026

Research on DRI

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & stable
Low/slowing growth (~8% recent)Moderate margins (9% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2026 · chosen for mature companies
P/E
20.8×
EV / EBITDA
11.4×
FCF yield
4.5%
Dividend yield, TTM
2.88%
Beta
0.62
Cost of capital (WACC)
7.87%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
09-25Mizuho Securities · target245.00
09-25Bernstein · target230.00
09-16Seaport Global · target240.00
08-24Baird · “Outperform” from “Neutral”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label

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About Darden Restaurants

Darden Restaurants, Inc., through its various subsidiaries, focuses on the ownership and operation of full-service dining establishments across both the United States and Canada. As of May 29, 2022, the company's extensive portfolio comprised 1,867 directly managed restaurants. These included a significant presence from its flagship brands: 884 Olive Garden outlets, 546 LongHorn Steakhouse locations, 172 Cheddar's Scratch Kitchens, 85 Yard House venues, 62 Capital Grille branches, 45 Seasons 52 restaurants, 42 Bahama Breeze sites, 28 Eddie V's Prime Seafood establishments, and 3 Capital Burger eateries. In addition to its owned operations, Darden also oversees 60 franchised restaurants, specifically 35 Olive Garden units, 18 LongHorn Steakhouse units, 4 Cheddar's Scratch Kitchens, 2 Capital Grille locations, and 1 Bahama Breeze restaurant. The company, which originated in 1968, is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.

CEO
Ricardo Cardenas
Headquarters
Orlando, FL
Employees
209,931
IPO
1995-05-09
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.