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Cincinnati Financial Corporation — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

CINF
NASDAQFinancial ServicesInsurance - Property & CasualtyCIK 0000020286cinfin.comAbout CINF
Last close · Oct 16, 2026171.25+4.03 (+2.41%)
Market cap$26.3B
Model value · P/B · justified
191.15
Cincinnati Financial closed at $171.25 — undervalued by 10% vs model.
167.26the model's range223.01

P/B · justified leads for an insurer. From the justified price to book.

Other models
68.19 – 139.92
Wall St. target
197.00 13% below
Below model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
2.15%
Past 2 years
low 1.89%high 2.61%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.49Sep ’21$2.70Sep ’22$2.94Sep ’23$3.18Sep ’24$3.42Sep ’25$3.69TTM
Dividends / earnings, FY2025
21.9%
Raised
30 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
8.2% a year
Last change
+8.0% · Mar 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.94, paid Oct 15, 2026

Research on CINF

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How it is valued

Valued asInsurer
Moderate growth (~12% recent)Moderate margins (19% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (11.8%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for insurers
Price / book
1.7×
Return on equity
15.0%
P/E
11.3×
Dividend yield, TTM
2.15%
Payout ratio
21.9%
Debt / equity
0.1
Full financials

Superinvestors

13F

None of the tracked managers reported a position in their latest 13F.

All 0 holders

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
07-30B of A Securities · “Neutral” from “Buy”downgrade
07-28Roth Capital · target200.00
07-15Piper Sandler · target197.00
07-15Atlantic Equities · target197.00
Ratings, targets and estimates

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just CINF. No account.

About Cincinnati Financial

Cincinnati Financial Corporation, operating through its various subsidiaries, delivers a range of property and casualty insurance offerings across the United States. Its operations are organized into five distinct divisions: Commercial Lines, Personal Lines, Excess and Surplus Lines, Life Insurance, and Investments. The Commercial Lines division safeguards businesses against risks such as commercial casualty, property damage, vehicle incidents, and workers' compensation claims; it also offers specialized protection including director and officer liability, various surety and fidelity bonds, and coverage for machinery and equipment. For individual clients, the Personal Lines segment provides essential coverages like personal auto and homeowner policies, alongside dwelling fire, inland marine, personal umbrella liability, and watercraft protection. The Excess and Surplus Lines segment specializes in commercial casualty insurance, protecting companies from third-party liabilities stemming from on-site incidents, operational activities, or product-related injuries; this segment also delivers commercial property insurance, securing assets like buildings, inventory, and equipment, as well as business income, against a broad spectrum of perils including fire, wind, hail, water damage, theft, and vandalism. Through its Life Insurance division, the company offers a comprehensive suite of life policies, encompassing term life, universal life, worksite-based term life, and whole life insurance options. The Investments segment manages a portfolio including fixed-maturity assets like taxable and tax-exempt bonds, along with redeemable preferred stocks, and equity holdings such as common and non-redeemable preferred stocks. Beyond insurance, Cincinnati Financial Corporation extends its services to include commercial leasing and financing, as well as insurance brokerage. Established in 1950, Cincinnati Financial Corporation's corporate headquarters are situated in Fairfield, Ohio.

CEO
Stephen Michael Spray
Headquarters
Fairfield, OH
Employees
5,705
IPO
1980-03-17
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.