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Molson Coors Beverage Company — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

TAP
NYSEConsumer DefensiveBeverages - AlcoholicCIK 0000024545molsoncoors.comAbout TAP
Last close · Oct 16, 202639.52+0.49 (+1.26%)
Market cap$7.4B
Model value · EV/Revenue · peers
155.78
Molson Coors Beverage closed at $39.52 — undervalued by 75% vs model.
116.14the model's range161.79

EV/Revenue · peers leads because DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y could not lead: the cash-flow gate is shut (an operating loss, or three years of free cash flow summing below zero); P/E · peers does not describe this kind of business; EV/EBITDA · peers could not run on the filed statements. From its peers' median EV/Revenue.

Other models
—
Wall St. target
41.00 4% below
Below model, 1y
8 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Valuation models

price $39.52 · as of Oct 17, 2026
EV/Revenue · peersused116.14 – 161.79155.7875% undervaluedWall St. consensus target—41.004% belowCost of capital (WACC)—6.16%—

EV/Revenue · peers leads because DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y could not lead: the cash-flow gate is shut (an operating loss, or three years of free cash flow summing below zero); P/E · peers does not describe this kind of business; EV/EBITDA · peers could not run on the filed statements. How we value a stock walks through every input.

engine pkg:0.1.0

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
4.83%
#28 · Highest dividend yield
Past 2 years
low 2.71%high 5.33%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$1.48Sep ’22$1.61Aug ’23$1.73Aug ’24$1.85Sep ’25$1.91TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
35.2%
Raised
4 years in a row
Growth, 4 yrs
6.6% a year
Last change
+2.1% · Mar 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.48, paid Sep 18, 2026

Research on TAP

No posts on TAP yet.
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How it is valued

Valued asMature & stable
Revenue declining (~-3% recent)Currently unprofitableStrong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (14.4%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for mature companies
P/E
—
EV / EBITDA
-9.0×
FCF yield
13.8%
Dividend yield, TTM
4.83%
Beta
0.43
Cost of capital (WACC)
6.16%
On the lists: #28 Highest dividend yield · #12 Highest free cash flow yield
Full financials

Superinvestors

13F · Q2 2026
All 4 holders

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-16Barclays · target36.00
08-07UBS · target45.00
07-22Deutsche Bank · target41.00
02-25B of A Securities · “Underperform” from “Neutral”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Recent

filings, insider trades and key news
59 filings · 34 insider transactions

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
STZConstellation BrandsBF-BBrown-FormanKDPKeurig Dr PepperKOCoca-ColaPEPPepsiCo

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just TAP. No account.

About Molson Coors Beverage

Molson Coors Beverage Company is a global entity engaged in the production, marketing, and sale of a diverse range of beer and other malt-based beverages. Its extensive operations span the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific region. The company's product lineup also features flavored malt beverages, craft beers, and convenient ready-to-drink selections. Founded in 1774, the firm, headquartered in Golden, Colorado, was previously known as Molson Coors Brewing Company before officially adopting its current name, Molson Coors Beverage Company, in January 2020.

CEO
Rahul Goyal
Headquarters
Golden, CO
Employees
16,200
IPO
1975-06-12
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.