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PACCAR Inc — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

PCAR
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachineryCIK 0000075362paccar.comAbout PCAR
Last close · Oct 16, 2026110.82+0.01 (+0.01%)
Market cap$58.3B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
100.84
Paccar closed at $110.82 — overvalued by 10% vs model.
72.50the model's range174.74

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
50.42 – 121.24
Wall St. target
125.00 11% below
Above model, 1y
10 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
2.49%
Past 2 years
low 0.99%high 4.55%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$1.68Aug ’22$2.61May ’23$4.01Feb ’24$3.90Dec ’24$1.32Nov ’25$2.43TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
61.7%
Raised
5 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
7.7% a year
Last change
+6.1% · May 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.35, paid Sep 2, 2026

Research on PCAR

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How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-10% recent)Moderate margins (8% net margin)Strong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (6.3%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for cyclical companies
P/E
24.6×
EV / EBITDA
13.9×
FCF yield
5.2%
Dividend yield, TTM
2.49%
Beta
0.99
Cost of capital (WACC)
9.20%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-08Wells Fargo · target122.00
10-05Truist Financial · target125.00
09-10RBC Capital · “Outperform” from “Sector Perform”upgrade
09-10RBC Capital · target150.00
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
2 more companies list PCAR as a comparable

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just PCAR. No account.

About Paccar

PACCAR Inc is a global leader specializing in the design, production, and distribution of commercial trucks, covering light, medium, and heavy-duty classes. Its market reach extends across the United States, Europe, Mexico, South America, Australia, and other international territories. The company's operations are divided into three principal segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services. The Truck division focuses on engineering, manufacturing, and supplying vehicles tailored for both long-distance highway travel and challenging off-highway applications, primarily for hauling commercial and consumer goods. These vehicles are sold worldwide through an expansive network of independent dealerships, prominently featuring the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF brands. The Parts segment is dedicated to supplying aftermarket components for its trucks and associated commercial vehicles. Through its Financial Services arm, which encompasses full-service leasing under the PacLease trademark, PACCAR offers a wide array of financing and leasing products to both its customers and its dealer network. This segment also delivers equipment financing and administrative assistance to its franchisees. It provides retail loans and leasing options to a diverse clientele, including small, medium, and large commercial trucking firms, independent owner-operators, and various other businesses. Additionally, it facilitates truck inventory financing for independent dealers and directly extends loans and leases to customers for purchasing trucks and related equipment. Beyond its core truck business, PACCAR also fabricates and markets industrial winches under the Braden, Carco, and Gearmatic labels. Established in 1905, PACCAR Inc's corporate headquarters are situated in Bellevue, Washington.

CEO
Preston R. Feight
Headquarters
Bellevue, WA
Employees
25,900
IPO
1980-03-17
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.