SweetValueLab
Write for us

Cummins Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

CMI
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachineryCIK 0000026172cummins.comAbout CMI
Last close · Oct 16, 2026531.33−1.40 (−0.26%)
Market cap$73.1B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
327.89
Cummins closed at $531.33 — overvalued by 62% vs model.
227.13the model's range584.61

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
145.33 – 1,311.74
Wall St. target
750.50 29% below
Above model, 1y
12 of 20 days

Price and model value

Embed this card

CMI's close against its model value, as a 420×168 card for your own page. It updates nightly with this site and links back here.

Free to embed; keep the attribution link.
Loading chart…
What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.54%
Past 2 years
low 1.09%high 2.67%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$5.50Aug ’21$5.92Aug ’22$6.39Aug ’23$6.86Aug ’24$7.46Aug ’25$8.20TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
44.2%
Raised
20 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
8.3% a year
Last change
+10.0% · Aug 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $2.20, paid Sep 3, 2026

Research on CMI

No posts on CMI yet.
Studied CMI from its filings? Guest posts are reviewed before they go live.Write about CMI →

How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-1% recent)Moderate margins (9% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for cyclical companies
P/E
25.9×
EV / EBITDA
14.4×
FCF yield
3.3%
Dividend yield, TTM
1.54%
Beta
1.24
Cost of capital (WACC)
9.34%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-08Wells Fargo · target760.00
10-05Truist Financial · target779.00
09-30UBS · target741.00
06-08UBS · “Buy” from “Neutral”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
4 more companies list CMI as a comparable

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just CMI. No account.

About Cummins

Cummins Inc. is a global innovator in power solutions, responsible for the design, manufacturing, distribution, and maintenance of a broad array of diesel and natural gas engines, alongside cutting-edge electric and hybrid powertrains, and associated components. Its operations are strategically divided into five segments: Engine, Distribution, Components, Power Systems, and New Power. The company's extensive engine portfolio, available under the Cummins brand and others, powers a vast range of heavy and medium-duty applications, including commercial trucks, buses, recreational vehicles, light-duty automobiles, construction and mining equipment, marine vessels, railway systems, oil and gas operations, defense, and agriculture. Complementing these engines, Cummins provides both new and remanufactured parts and comprehensive servicing. Beyond its core engine offerings, Cummins delivers sophisticated power generation systems, high-horsepower engines, and specialized application engineering. It also offers custom-designed assemblies, retail and wholesale aftermarket components, and expert repair services conducted both in-shop and on-site. The company's technological scope extends to emission control solutions, turbochargers, a variety of filtration systems (for air, fuel, lubricants, and hydraulics), coolants, fuel additives, and advanced electronic control modules, sensors, and supporting software. Fuel systems, both new and reconditioned, are also a key part of their product line, as are automated transmissions. For electrical power generation, Cummins provides standby and primary power generators, complete with controls, paralleling systems, and transfer switches, featuring products like Stamford and AVK A/C alternators. Embracing future energy demands, the company is a frontrunner in electrified power systems, encompassing battery technologies, fuel cells, and hydrogen production. This includes a robust offering of filtration, aftertreatment, control, air handling systems, automated transmissions, electric power generation, and battery solutions. Cummins distributes its diverse product range to original equipment manufacturers, an extensive network of distributors and dealers, and various other clientele worldwide. Founded in 1919 as the Cummins Engine Company, the enterprise adopted its current name, Cummins Inc., in 2001 and maintains its headquarters in Columbus, Indiana.

CEO
Jennifer W. Rumsey
Headquarters
Columbus, IN
Employees
67,400
IPO
1947-10-03
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.