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Nu Holdings Ltd. — Stock Analysis: Intrinsic Value, Grades & Financials

NU
NYSEFinancial ServicesBanks - RegionalCIK 0001691493nubank.com.brAbout NU
Quant grade ?–not graded
Last close · Oct 30, 202611.61−0.44 (−3.65%)
00

Summary

NU at a glance

written from the figures on this page · updated nightly

Nu Holdings (NU) closed at $11.61 on Oct 30, 2026, overvalued by 23% vs model: P/TBV · justified puts it at $9.45 a share. The other 3 models range from $19.52 to $24.79, and the median analyst target is $19.00 from 5 firms.

In Q2 FY2026, the latest quarter on file, revenue grew 50% on a year earlier to $5.5B, with a net margin of 19.2%. Over the twelve months to Q2 FY2026, net income was $3.6B.

Among the superinvestors tracked here, Stephen Mandel added and Lee Ainslie added. Insiders sold $6.0M and made no open-market purchases over the last 90 days. The latest filing is a 6-K (current report (foreign issuer)), filed Oct 23.

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close
Market value
$56.1B
52-week range
$11.20 – $18.98
−39% from the high
P/E, trailing
15.7×
close ÷ 12-month EPS
EV / EBITDA
16.3×
last fiscal year
Price / sales
2.9×
trailing 12 months
Price / FCF
n/m
free cash flow not positive
Dividend yield
none
trailing 12 months
Beta
0.95
Shares, diluted
4.90B
Avg. volume
83.1M
Price change1M −12.6%6M −19.6%YTD −30.6%1Y −27.8%2Y −22.3%
01

Valuation

All 4 models →

Nu Holdings closed at $11.61, overvalued by 23% vs model (P/TBV · justified, 9.45).

Today
–
Valuation grade
site models · —
Model value · P/TBV · justified
9.45
overvalued by 23% vs model
8.27the model's range11.02

P/TBV · justified leads for a bank.

Beside it
Other models
19.52 – 24.79
Wall St. target
19.00 39% below
Above model, past year
0 of 0 days
Valued as
Mature & Stable

Every model

the price against each
P/TBV · justifiedused$9.4523% overvalued
P/E · peers$19.5241% undervalued
PEG$21.8647% undervalued
P/E · own history$24.7953% undervalued

Against its peers and its past

NUPeers' medianOwn 5-yr median
P/E · last fiscal year20.0×31.1×28.4×
Free cash flow yield—11.8%
Operating margin24.4%17.7%
Revenue growth43.0%18.4%

Peers are the comparable companies below; the five-year median is at each fiscal year's close.

What the price implies

−0.6% a year

The free cash flow growth for five years, then a fade to 2.5%, at which today's price is a fair value — discounted at 9.1%. The reverse DCF →

Risk-free rate
4.94%
Beta × equity premium
0.97 × 4.14%
Cost of equity
8.96%
Cost of debt
15.00%
Equity weight
91%
WACC
9.14%
02

Quant

Quant grade over time →

Quant grade not graded from model v1, set before the Oct 30 open. S is the best, D the worst. What the grade means

Today
–
Quant grade
model v1 · Oct 30
Sessions on file
–
Financial Services, 26 stocks graded
4S
10A
10B
2C
0D
Comparable companies
  • SOFI–
  • COF–
  • SYF–
  • AXP–
  • HOODB
  • PYPLA
03

Growth and forecasts

Every estimate →

Analysts expect revenue to grow 30.3% a year over the next 3 years, against 94.2% a year over the last five.

Revenue, reported and expected
FY2024$11.1BFY2025$15.9BFY2026E$22.7BFY2027E$28.2BFY2028E$35.2B
ReportedConsensus, with the analysts' low–high
The consensus, year by year
RevenueGrowthEPSGrowthAnalysts
FY2024$11.1B+44.8%$0.40+90.5%reported
FY2025$15.9B+43.0%$0.58+45.0%reported
FY2026E$22.7B+43.2%$0.87+43.4%6
FY2027E$28.2B+24.1%$1.14+30.0%7
FY2028E$35.2B+24.6%$1.47+29.7%4
Revenue, last 5 years
94.2% a year
Consensus, next 3 years
30.3% a year

The analysts' estimates, as FMP collects them — their figures, not this site's. Reported EPS is GAAP diluted.

04

Financials

Full statements →

In Q2 FY2026, the latest quarter on file, revenue grew 50% on a year earlier to $5.5B, with a net margin of 19.2%. Over the twelve months to Q2 FY2026, net income was $3.6B.

Last 8 quarters
Q3 ’24$2.9BQ4 ’24$2.9BQ1 ’25$3.2BQ2 ’25$3.7B+46%Q3 ’25$4.2B+65%Q4 ’25$4.7B+53%Q1 ’26$5.0B+50%Q2 ’26$5.5B19.4%19.3%17.2%17.3%18.7%19.0%17.5%19.2%
Revenue, % change on the same quarter a year earlierNet margin
Twelve months to Q2 FY2026
LatestYear beforeChange
Revenue$19.5B$12.6B+54%
Net income$3.6B$2.3B+57%
Diluted EPS$0.74$0.46+61%
Cash and investments
$33.3B
Total debt
$42.0B
Shareholders' equity
$13.2B
Revenue$15.9B
FY2018–20253 yr +52.0%/yr5 yr +94.2%/yr
Net income$2.9B
FY2018–20253 yr n/m5 yr n/m
Diluted EPS$0.58
FY2018–20253 yr n/m5 yr n/m
Shareholders' equity$11.3B
FY2018–20253 yr +32.2%/yr5 yr +91.5%/yr
Book value per share$2.34
FY2018–20253 yr +30.8%/yr5 yr +89.8%/yr
Dividends per share$0.00
FY2018–20253 yr n/m5 yr n/m
05

Profitability and health

Every ratio →

Return on equity 25.4% in fiscal 2025, against −3.7% in 2021.

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Trend
Net margin−10.9%−8.1%13.4%17.8%18.1%
Return on equity−3.7%−7.5%16.1%25.8%25.4%
Return on assets−0.8%−1.2%2.4%3.9%3.8%
Equity to assets22.4%16.3%14.8%15.3%15.1%
Dividend payout0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Diluted shares, a year
+0.4%
a fall is a buyback, a rise dilution
Diluted shares, five years
+6.5%
06

Peers

Peers in full →

NU beside 6 comparable companies, chosen by business, not by industry label.

CompanyMarket valueP/EFCF yieldGross marginOp. marginRevenue growthValuationQuant
NU Nu Holdings Ltd.$56.1B20.0×—44.9%24.4%+43.0%––
AXP American Express Company$214.0B20.8×—83.2%17.1%+8.4%C–
COF Capital One Financial Corporation$125.7B50.8×—47.3%3.3%+28.4%C–
HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc.$67.4B41.5×—83.3%46.8%+51.6%DB
PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc.$47.4B10.5×11.8%46.6%18.3%+4.3%SA
SYF Synchrony Financial$24.5B8.1×—51.0%24.2%−7.9%A–
SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc.$21.6B43.0×—75.1%11.0%+28.8%––
07

Ownership

Every holder →
What 13F filers did in the quarter
Stephen Mandeladded$630.9M
Lee Ainslieadded$475.0M
Chase Colemanheld$147.4M
Guy Spieradded$119.9M
Polen Capitalreduced$10.1M
Glenn Greenbergbought$534,400
Insiders, last 90 days
Open-market buys
None
Sales
$6.0M
5 filings, plan sales included
  • Junqueira Cristina Helena ZingarettiOct 23 · US CEO & Chief Growth Officer−$106,957.9
  • Fragelli Henrique Camossa SaldanhaOct 23 · Chief Risk Officer−$174,338.2
  • Osorno David VelezOct 23 · Chairman and CEO−$607,220.1
  • Young EricOct 23 · Chief Technology Officer−$6.5M
08

Wall Street

Every firm →

5 firms published a price target in the last 90 days: the median is $19.00, 64% above the close.

Price targets, 5 firms, last 90 days
low $17.00median $19.00 · 64% above the closehigh $20.50
Firms' latest grades, 12 months
5 positive3 neutral1 negative1 upgrades · 4 downgrades

Third-party ratings and targets, quoted as the firms published them — not this site's view.

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-26Monness · target20.00
10-20UBS · target20.50
09-28Redburn Partners · target19.00
09-16Itau BBA · “Market Perform” from “Outperform”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates
09

News and filings

All news →
10

About

Company profile →

Nu Holdings Ltd. provides digital banking platform in Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, the Cayman Islands, and the United States. The company provides spending solutions comprising Nu credit and prepaid card, a digitally enabled card that acts as a credit and a prepaid card; Nubank+ Tier, an evolution of the Nu experience; Ultraviolet credit and prepaid card, a premium metal credit card; mobile payment solutions for NuAccount customers to make and receive transfers, pay bills, and make everyday purchases through their mobile phones; and Nu Shopping, an integrated marketplace that enables customers to purchase goods and services from various ecommerce retailers. It also offers transactional solutions, such as Nu Personal Accounts, a digital account solution for personal financial activities; Nu business accounts for entrepreneur customers and their businesses; and Nu business prepaid and credit card. In addition, it offers savings and investing solutions, including Money Boxes, a solution for goal-based investing; investing solutions, an attractive investment product with customized and conflict-free guidance; and NuCrypto, a solution for buying and selling cryptocurrencies through the Nu app. Further, the company provides borrowing solutions comprising personal unsecured and secured loans; Pix financing that enables credit card and digital account customers to make free and instant peer-to-peer transfers; Boleto financing, which enables credit card and digital account customers to make payments; purchase financing; cash-in financing; and NuPay to make online purchases and pay for services through Nu app. Additionally, it offers protection solutions, such as NuInsurance protection solutions, including life, mobile, auto, home, and financial protection insurance policies; and beyond financial services solutions, including NuTravel, a travel portal; and NuCel, a mobile phone service. Nu Holdings Ltd. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

CEO
David Velez Osorno
Employees
8,037
Headquarters
São Paulo, SP
Listed
2021

Research on NU

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Model estimates and grades for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; each section is explained in the manual.