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Capital One Financial Corporation — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

COF
NYSEFinancial ServicesFinancial - Credit ServicesCIK 0000927628capitalone.comAbout COF
Last close · Oct 16, 2026201.74+2.88 (+1.45%)
Market cap$123.8B
Model value · P/TBV · justified
183.89
Capital One closed at $201.74 — overvalued by 10% vs model.
160.90the model's range214.54

P/TBV · justified leads for a bank. From the justified price to tangible book.

Other models
69.52 – 513.33
Wall St. target
245.00 18% below
Above model, 1y
17 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.59%
Past 2 years
low 1.01%high 1.82%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.10Aug ’21$2.40Aug ’22$2.40Aug ’23$2.40Aug ’24$2.40Aug ’25$3.20TTM
Dividends / earnings, FY2025
61.8%
Raised
1 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
8.8% a year
Last change
+33.3% · Nov 2025
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.80, paid Sep 1, 2026

Research on COF

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How it is valued

Valued asBank
Moderate growth (~20% recent)High profitability (30% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (21.1%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for banks
Price / tangible book
1.6×
Price / book
1.0×
Return on equity
2.2%
P/E
50.1×
Dividend yield, TTM
1.59%
Payout ratio
72.1%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-08Capital One Financial · target219.00
10-05Barclays · target237.00
10-01Evercore ISI · target220.00
07-13HSBC · “Buy” from “Hold”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just COF. No account.

About Capital One

Capital One Financial Corporation, identified by its ticker COF, operates as a prominent financial services holding company. It oversees essential subsidiaries such as Capital One Bank (USA), National Association, and Capital One, National Association, which collectively offer a broad spectrum of financial products and services throughout the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. The company structures its extensive operations into three core divisions: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. Clients can utilize various deposit instruments, including checking accounts, money market accounts, negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts, savings accounts, and time deposits. Capital One's lending solutions are equally comprehensive, encompassing credit card financing, personal auto and retail banking loans, as well as significant commercial and multifamily real estate loans, and broader commercial and industrial credit facilities. Furthermore, the corporation provides credit and debit card issuance, robust online direct banking capabilities, and specialized treasury management and custodial services. Capital One serves a diverse clientele that includes individual consumers, small enterprises, and large commercial entities. It reaches these customers through a multi-channel approach, leveraging digital platforms, traditional physical branches, innovative café locations, and other distribution points, particularly within key states like New York, Louisiana, Texas, Maryland, Virginia, New Jersey, and California. Established in 1988, Capital One Financial Corporation maintains its primary executive offices in McLean, Virginia.

CEO
Richard D. Fairbank
Headquarters
McLean, VA
Employees
78,400
IPO
1994-11-16
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.