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Altria Group, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

MO
NYSEConsumer DefensiveTobaccoCIK 0000764180altria.comAbout MO
Last close · Oct 16, 202675.11+1.27 (+1.72%)
Market cap$125.4B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
70.72
Altria closed at $75.11 — overvalued by 6% vs model.
40.17the model's range218.06

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
7.21 – 101.28
Wall St. target
71.00 6% above
Above model, 1y
8 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
5.71%
#17 · Highest dividend yield
Past 2 years
low 5.63%high 8.07%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$3.48Sep ’21$3.64Sep ’22$3.80Sep ’23$3.96Sep ’24$4.12Sep ’25$4.29TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
76.7%
Raised
17 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
4.3% a year
Last change
+4.7% · Sep 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $1.11, paid Oct 9, 2026

Research on MO

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & stable
Revenue declining (~-2% recent)High profitability (30% net margin)Strong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 5.0x)Strong FCF yield (7.2%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for mature companies
P/E
18.2×
EV / EBITDA
11.7×
FCF yield
7.2%
Dividend yield, TTM
5.71%
Beta
0.46
Cost of capital (WACC)
7.06%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-02Jefferies · target60.00
08-11Barclays · target58.00
07-07UBS · target79.00
01-09UBS · “Buy” from “Neutral”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
Side by side:vs PM

The weekly

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About Altria

Operating across the United States through its subsidiaries, Altria Group, Inc. is a prominent manufacturer and marketer of both combustible and oral tobacco items. Its portfolio features cigarettes, primarily under the iconic Marlboro brand, alongside cigars and pipe tobacco mainly offered as Black & Mild. The enterprise further provides an assortment of moist smokeless tobacco products, including Copenhagen, Skoal, Red Seal, and Husky, in addition to its on! brand of oral nicotine pouches. Altria distributes its merchandise chiefly to wholesale partners, such as independent distributors, and directly to substantial retail organizations, including major chain stores. The corporation, founded in 1822, maintains its principal offices in Richmond, Virginia.

CEO
Salvatore Mancuso
Headquarters
Richmond, VA
Employees
5,900
IPO
1985-07-01
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.