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Johnson & Johnson — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

JNJ
NYSEHealthcareDrug Manufacturers - GeneralCIK 0000200406jnj.comAbout JNJ
Last close · Oct 16, 2026255.56+2.28 (+0.90%)
Market cap$615.9B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
401.28
Johnson & Johnson closed at $255.56 — undervalued by 36% vs model.
230.58the model's range839.40

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
93.62 – 443.99
Wall St. target
280.00 9% below
Below model, 1y
17 of 21 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
2.07%
Past 2 years
low 1.90%high 3.46%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$4.14Aug ’21$4.38Aug ’22$4.64Aug ’23$4.86Aug ’24$5.08Aug ’25$5.28TTM
Coverage
—
Raised
55+ years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
5.0% a year
Last change
+3.1% · May 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $1.34, paid Sep 8, 2026

Research on JNJ

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & stable
Revenue declining (~-0% recent)High profitability (28% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for mature companies
P/E
23.2×
EV / EBITDA
15.7×
FCF yield
3.2%
Dividend yield, TTM
2.07%
Beta
0.23
Cost of capital (WACC)
6.90%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-16Wells Fargo · target287.00
10-15Bernstein · target270.00
10-14RBC Capital · target280.00
05-13Leerink Partners · “Outperform” from “Market Perform”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just JNJ. No account.

About Johnson & Johnson

Johnson & Johnson is a holding company, which engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of products in the healthcare field. It operates through the Innovative Medicine and MedTech segments. The Innovative Medicine segment focuses on immunology, infectious diseases, neuroscience, oncology, cardiovascular and metabolism, and pulmonary hypertension. The MedTech segment includes a portfolio of products used in interventional solutions, orthopaedics, surgery, and vision categories. The company was founded by Robert Wood Johnson I, James Wood Johnson, and Edward Mead Johnson Sr. in 1887 and is headquartered in New Brunswick, NJ.

CEO
Joaquin Duato
Headquarters
New Brunswick, NJ
Employees
141,700
IPO
1962-01-02
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.