SweetValueLab
Write for us

Eli Lilly and Company — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

LLY
NYSEHealthcareDrug Manufacturers - GeneralCIK 0000059478lilly.comAbout LLY
Last close · Oct 16, 20261,257.03+5.42 (+0.43%)
Market cap$1.2T
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
1,030.95
Eli Lilly closed at $1,257.03 — overvalued by 22% vs model.
555.08the model's range2,418.44

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a high-growth company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
113.36 – 1,812.55
Wall St. target
1,388.00 9% below
Above model, 1y
21 of 21 days

Price and model value

Embed this card

LLY's close against its model value, as a 420×168 card for your own page. It updates nightly with this site and links back here.

Free to embed; keep the attribution link.
Loading chart…
What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
0.53%
Past 2 years
low 0.52%high 0.90%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$3.29Aug ’21$3.79Aug ’22$4.37Aug ’23$5.03Aug ’24$5.80Aug ’25$6.69TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
60.0%
Raised
11 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
15.3% a year
Last change
+15.3% · Feb 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $1.73, paid Sep 10, 2026

Research on LLY

No posts on LLY yet.
Studied LLY from its filings? Guest posts are reviewed before they go live.Write about LLY →

How it is valued

Valued asHigh growth
High revenue growth (~38% recent)High profitability (32% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for high-growth companies
Price / sales
17.3×
Revenue growth
44.7%
Gross margin
83.0%
Operating margin
45.6%
FCF margin
13.8%
EV / EBITDA
38.4×
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-08Cantor Fitzgerald · target1,440.00
10-07Morgan Stanley · target1,430.00
09-18Guggenheim · target1,284.00
03-17HSBC · “Reduce” from “Hold”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
1 more company lists LLY as a comparable

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just LLY. No account.

About Eli Lilly

Eli Lilly and Company is a prominent global pharmaceutical firm dedicated to the research, development, and commercialization of human medicines across the world. Its therapeutic offerings include a comprehensive suite of diabetes medications. This encompasses various insulin formulations like Basaglar, the Humalog family (e.g., Mix 75/25, U-100, U-200, Mix 50/50), insulin lispro products (including protamine and mix 75/25), and the Humulin line (e.g., 70/30, N, R, U-500). Furthermore, Eli Lilly provides specialized treatments for type 2 diabetes, such as Jardiance, Trajenta, and Trulicity. In oncology, Eli Lilly offers a robust portfolio targeting various cancers. These include Alimta for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and malignant pleural mesothelioma; Cyramza, indicated for metastatic gastric cancer, gastro-esophageal junction adenocarcinoma, metastatic NSCLC, metastatic colorectal cancer, and hepatocellular carcinoma; Erbitux for colorectal and various head and neck cancers; Retevmo, used in metastatic NSCLC, medullary thyroid, and other thyroid cancers; Tyvyt for relapsed or refractory classic Hodgkin's lymphoma and non-squamous NSCLC; and Verzenio, prescribed for HR+, HER2- metastatic breast cancer, node-positive, and early breast cancer. For autoimmune and inflammatory conditions, the company markets Olumiant for rheumatoid arthritis, and Taltz, which addresses plaque psoriasis, psoriatic arthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, and non-radiographic axial spondyloarthritis. Addressing neurological and pain management needs, Eli Lilly provides Cymbalta for depressive disorder, diabetic peripheral neuropathic pain, generalized anxiety disorder, fibromyalgia, and chronic musculoskeletal pain. Emgality is available for migraine prevention and episodic cluster headaches, while Zyprexa treats schizophrenia, bipolar I disorder, and aids in bipolar maintenance. Other significant products include Bamlanivimab and etesevimab, along with Bebtelovimab, both developed for COVID-19. Cialis is offered for erectile dysfunction and benign prostatic hyperplasia, and Forteo is available for osteoporosis. Eli Lilly actively engages in strategic collaborations with numerous partners, including Incyte Corporation; Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; AbCellera Biologics Inc.; Junshi Biosciences; Regor Therapeutics Group; Lycia Therapeutics, Inc.; Kumquat Biosciences Inc.; Entos Pharmaceuticals Inc.; and Foghorn Therapeutics Inc. Established in 1876, Eli Lilly and Company maintains its corporate headquarters in Indianapolis, Indiana.

CEO
David A. Ricks
Headquarters
Indianapolis, IN
Employees
50,000
IPO
1972-06-01
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.