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Medtronic Plc — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

MDT
NYSEHealthcareMedical - DevicesCIK 0001613103medtronic.comAbout MDT
Last close · Oct 16, 202694.75−0.70 (−0.73%)
Market cap$121.2B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
91.16
Medtronic closed at $94.75 — overvalued by 4% vs model.
51.30the model's range264.81

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
35.91 – 135.33
Wall St. target
99.00 4% below
Above model, 1y
5 of 21 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
3.02%
Past 2 years
low 2.68%high 3.85%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.42Sep ’21$2.62Sep ’22$2.74Sep ’23$2.78Sep ’24$2.82Sep ’25$2.86TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2026
67.1%
Raised
25 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
3.4% a year
Last change
+1.4% · Jun 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.72, paid Oct 16, 2026

Research on MDT

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & stable
Low/slowing growth (~6% recent)Moderate margins (13% net margin)Strong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2026 · chosen for mature companies
P/E
25.4×
EV / EBITDA
22.8×
FCF yield
4.5%
Dividend yield, TTM
3.02%
Beta
0.57
Cost of capital (WACC)
7.28%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-12BTIG · target99.00
10-06Barclays · target95.00
09-03Deutsche Bank · target92.00
07-28UBS · “Buy” from “Neutral”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just MDT. No account.

About Medtronic

Medtronic plc is a leading global medical technology enterprise that invents, develops, manufactures, and distributes an extensive range of device-based medical therapies. These solutions serve healthcare systems, clinicians, physicians, and patients across the world. The company's operations are categorized into several key portfolios: Cardiovascular Portfolio: This segment focuses on cardiac health, providing technologies for heart rhythm management, including implantable pacemakers, defibrillators, and monitoring systems, alongside cardiac ablation tools and remote patient software. It also addresses structural heart issues with products like aortic and pulmonary valves, surgical repair devices, and endovascular stent grafts, in addition to offerings for percutaneous coronary interventions (e.g., angioplasty balloons). Medical Surgical Portfolio: Offering a broad spectrum of surgical instruments and therapies, this division includes staples, vessel sealing devices, wound closure products, and electrosurgical equipment. It also pioneers surgical artificial intelligence and robotic-assisted platforms, alongside solutions for hernia repair, gynecology, lung conditions, minimally invasive gastrointestinal and hepatologic diagnostics, patient monitoring, airway management, ventilation therapies, and renal disease. Neuroscience Portfolio: This division delivers specialized products for a diverse group of medical professionals, such as spinal surgeons, neurosurgeons, neurologists, pain management specialists, and ENT experts. Its offerings span energy surgical instruments, advanced image-guided and intra-operative imaging systems, robotic guidance for spine procedures, and therapies targeting the brain's vasculature. Diabetes Operating Unit: Dedicated to diabetes management, this unit provides innovative solutions like insulin pumps and their associated consumables, continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems, and smart insulin pen technologies. Established in 1949, Medtronic plc maintains its corporate headquarters in Dublin, Ireland.

CEO
Geoffrey Straub Martha
Headquarters
Galway, GA
Employees
95,000
IPO
1973-05-02
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.