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W.W. Grainger, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

GWW
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionCIK 0000277135grainger.comAbout GWW
Last close · Oct 16, 20261,330.70−0.47 (−0.04%)
Market cap$62.7B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
676.11
W. W. Grainger closed at $1,330.70 — overvalued by 97% vs model.
454.37the model's range1,329.94

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
185.75 – 1,152.43
Wall St. target
1,387.50 4% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
0.71%
Past 2 years
low 0.65%high 0.96%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$6.30Aug ’21$6.68Aug ’22$7.16Aug ’23$7.82Aug ’24$8.62Aug ’25$9.50TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
35.1%
Raised
40+ years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
8.6% a year
Last change
+10.2% · May 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $2.49, paid Sep 1, 2026

Research on GWW

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & Stable
Low/slowing growth (~4% recent)Moderate margins (10% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025
P/E
37.6×
EV / EBITDA
23.4×
FCF yield
2.1%
Dividend yield, TTM
0.71%
Beta
1.01
Cost of capital (WACC)
9.06%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
09-25Barclays · target1,172.00
08-24Morgan Stanley · target1,400.00
08-11Barclays · target1,185.00
07-14Stephens & Co. · “Equal Weight” from “Overweight”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
3 more companies list GWW as a comparable

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About W. W. Grainger

W.W. Grainger, Inc. stands as a significant global supplier of maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) supplies and related services. Its market presence spans several international regions, including the United States, Japan, Canada, and the United Kingdom. The company structures its operations into two principal divisions: High-Touch Solutions N.A. and Endless Assortment. Grainger's extensive product offerings cover essential categories such as safety and security provisions, equipment for material handling and storage, plumbing and pump components, cleaning and facility upkeep items, and both metalworking and general hand tools. Furthermore, it delivers vital support functions, including inventory management and expert technical assistance. The firm serves a wide array of organizational customers, from private businesses and large corporations to government bodies and other institutions, reaching them through both dedicated sales and service teams and its robust digital and e-commerce platforms. Established in 1927, W.W. Grainger, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Lake Forest, Illinois.

CEO
Donald G. Macpherson
Headquarters
Lake Forest, IL
Employees
23,550
IPO
1973-02-21
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.