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Fastenal Company — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

FAST
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionCIK 0000815556fastenal.comAbout FAST
Last close · Oct 16, 202651.02+0.64 (+1.27%)
Market cap$58.5B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
26.28
Fastenal closed at $51.02 — overvalued by 94% vs model.
16.73the model's range66.52

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for profitable growth — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
12.20 – 42.08
Wall St. target
51.00 0% above
Above model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.88%
Past 2 years
low 1.69%high 2.38%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$0.56Oct ’21$0.62Oct ’22$0.70Oct ’23$0.78Jul ’24$0.85Jul ’25$0.96TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
95.6%
Raised
14 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
11.4% a year
Last change
+8.3% · Jul 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.26, paid Aug 25, 2026

Research on FAST

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How it is valued

Valued asProfitable Growth
Low/slowing growth (~6% recent)Moderate margins (15% net margin)Pays dividendsModerately volatile earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025
P/E
46.8×
EV / EBITDA
31.7×
FCF yield
1.8%
Dividend yield, TTM
1.88%
Beta
0.69
Cost of capital (WACC)
8.36%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-15Bernstein · target47.00
10-15Robert W. Baird · target60.00
10-13D.A. Davidson · target51.00
12-15Jefferies · “Buy” from “Hold”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
2 more companies list FAST as a comparable

The weekly

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About Fastenal

Fastenal Company, along with its associated entities, operates as a global wholesale supplier of industrial and construction materials, with significant operations throughout North America, including the United States, Canada, and Mexico, and other international markets. Branded as Fastenal, the company offers a comprehensive range of fasteners, such as threaded bolts, nuts, screws, studs, and washers, which are vital for manufacturing processes, building developments, and equipment servicing. Beyond fasteners, its product catalog extends to diverse hardware and miscellaneous items like pins, machinery keys, concrete anchors, metal framing systems, wire ropes, strut products, and rivets, along with their related accessories. Fastenal serves a wide array of clients, including original equipment manufacturers, maintenance, repair, and operations departments within the manufacturing sector, and various non-residential construction contractors spanning general, electrical, plumbing, sheet metal, and road construction. Its customer base further encompasses agricultural businesses, transportation services (trucking, railroads), mining operations, educational institutions, retail establishments, the oil and gas exploration, production, and refinement industries, and governmental bodies at federal, state, and local levels. The company distributes its offerings through an extensive network of 3,209 in-market facilities and 15 major distribution centers. Established in 1967, Fastenal Company's corporate headquarters are located in Winona, Minnesota.

CEO
Jeffery Michael Watts
Headquarters
Winona, MN
Employees
22,230
IPO
1987-08-20
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.