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Emerson Electric Co. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

EMR
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachineryCIK 0000032604emerson.comAbout EMR
Last close · Oct 16, 2026161.47−0.68 (−0.42%)
Market cap$90.1B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
87.79
Emerson Electric closed at $161.47 — overvalued by 84% vs model.
55.29the model's range183.58

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
22.13 – 154.40
Wall St. target
176.00 8% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.37%
Past 2 years
low 1.32%high 2.24%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.02Aug ’21$2.06Aug ’22$2.08Aug ’23$2.10Aug ’24$2.11Aug ’25$2.22TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
44.7%
Raised
53+ years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
1.9% a year
Last change
+5.2% · Nov 2025
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.555, paid Sep 10, 2026

Research on EMR

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & Stable
Low/slowing growth (~9% recent)Moderate margins (13% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025
P/E
40.0×
EV / EBITDA
21.0×
FCF yield
2.9%
Dividend yield, TTM
1.37%
Beta
1.21
Cost of capital (WACC)
9.05%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-15Mizuho Securities · target180.00
09-24Wells Fargo · target177.00
08-28Morgan Stanley · target135.00
07-17JP Morgan · “Overweight” from “Neutral”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

The weekly

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About Emerson Electric

Emerson Electric Co. is an international technology and engineering firm that delivers diverse solutions to industrial, commercial, and residential clients across the Americas, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. The company's operations are divided into two main segments: Automation Solutions, and Commercial & Residential Solutions. Through its Automation Solutions division, Emerson provides a range of products including advanced measurement and analytical instruments, industrial valves, and sophisticated process control software and systems. This segment caters to a broad spectrum of industries such as oil and gas, refining, chemical processing, power generation, life sciences, food and beverage, automotive manufacturing, pulp and paper production, metals and mining, and municipal water utilities. The Commercial & Residential Solutions segment focuses on climate control and other essential home and business applications. It supplies residential and commercial heating and air conditioning (HVAC) products, encompassing various compressors (reciprocating and scroll), system protectors, precise flow control devices, and a variety of thermostats (standard, programmable, and Wi-Fi enabled). The segment also delivers monitoring equipment and electronic control units for both gas and electric heating setups, specialized gas valves for furnaces and water heaters, furnace ignition systems, and an array of sensors and thermistors for home appliances, alongside general temperature sensors and controls. Furthermore, this division supplies reciprocating, scroll, and screw compressors, along with precision flow control mechanisms, comprehensive system diagnostics, and advanced environmental control systems. Beyond hardware, it extends its portfolio to include technologies for air conditioning, refrigeration, and lighting management. Complementing these offerings are services like facility design and product lifecycle management, site commissioning, ongoing facility monitoring, and energy modeling. The segment also manufactures tools for both professional tradespeople and DIY enthusiasts, and offers a suite of appliance solutions. Established in 1890, Emerson Electric Co. maintains its corporate headquarters in Saint Louis, Missouri.

CEO
Surendralal Lanca Karsanbhai
Headquarters
Saint Louis, MO
Employees
71,000
IPO
1972-06-01
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.