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C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

CHRW
NASDAQIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsCIK 0001043277chrobinson.comAbout CHRW
Last close · Oct 16, 2026139.49−4.33 (−3.01%)
Market cap$16.3B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
88.61
C.H. Robinson closed at $139.49 — overvalued by 57% vs model.
59.70the model's range169.50

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
44.39 – 193.15
Wall St. target
198.00 30% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.81%
Past 2 years
low 1.20%high 2.84%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.04Sep ’21$2.20Sep ’22$2.44Aug ’23$2.45Sep ’24$2.48Sep ’25$2.52TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
33.7%
Raised
28+ years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
4.3% a year
Last change
+1.6% · Dec 2025
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.63, paid Oct 2, 2026

Research on CHRW

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How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-4% recent)Thin margins (3.6% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (5.5%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for cyclical companies
P/E
28.9×
EV / EBITDA
19.4×
FCF yield
5.3%
Dividend yield, TTM
1.81%
Beta
0.95
Cost of capital (WACC)
8.81%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-16BMO Capital · target160.00
10-15Raymond James · target170.00
10-12Deutsche Bank · target153.00
09-08Citigroup · “Buy” from “Neutral”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
1 more company lists CHRW as a comparable

The weekly

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About C.H. Robinson

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. serves as a global provider of diverse freight transportation and logistics solutions, assisting companies across numerous industries. The organization's business operations are segmented into two key areas: North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding. Its comprehensive range of services spans various shipping modalities. This includes brokerage for both full truckload (FTL) and less-than-truckload (LTL) freight, managing everything from single-pallet shipments to full container loads. C.H. Robinson also coordinates intermodal transport, which involves moving goods in containers or trailers through a combination of truck and rail networks, in addition to acting as a non-vessel operating common carrier (NVOCC) for ocean freight and arranging air cargo shipments. The company consistently provides end-to-end door-to-door delivery services. Beyond direct transportation, C.H. Robinson offers specialized logistics services like customs brokerage, managed transportation solutions (TMS), warehousing, and handling small parcel deliveries. These services are supported by an extensive network of approximately 85,000 contracted transportation partners, encompassing motor carriers, railroads, and both air and ocean carriers. Furthermore, C.H. Robinson operates a substantial fresh produce division under the "Robinson Fresh" brand. This unit focuses on the sourcing, sale, and marketing of fresh fruits, vegetables, and other perishable items. These products reach a wide customer base, including grocery retailers, restaurants, produce wholesalers, and foodservice distributors, leveraging a network of independent growers and suppliers. Founded in 1905, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.

CEO
David Bozeman
Headquarters
Eden Prairie, MN
Employees
11,599
IPO
1997-10-16
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.