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Wingstop Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

WING
NASDAQConsumer CyclicalRestaurantsCIK 0001636222wingstop.caAbout WING
Last close · Oct 26, 2026122.88+3.34 (+2.79%)
Market cap$3.3B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
75.35
Wingstop closed at $122.88 — overvalued by 63% vs model.
38.73the model's range191.21

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for profitable growth — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
7.93 – 495.78
Wall St. target
180.00 32% below
Past year
—

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 26, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.01%
Past 2 years
low 0.22%high 1.26%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$0.62Nov ’21$4.53Aug ’22$0.79Aug ’23$0.93Aug ’24$1.11Aug ’25$1.23TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
30.7%
Raised
8 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
14.7% a year
Last change
+10.0% · Aug 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.33, paid Sep 5, 2026

Research on WING

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How it is valued

Valued asProfitable Growth
High revenue growth (~23% recent)High profitability (25% net margin)Moderately volatile earningsHigh leverage (D/E 5.0x)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025
P/E
19.8×
EV / EBITDA
14.8×
FCF yield
3.1%
Dividend yield, TTM
1.01%
Beta
1.81
Cost of capital (WACC)
9.26%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-23Mizuho Securities · target200.00
10-22Robert W. Baird · target150.00
10-22D.A. Davidson · target180.00
08-03Bernstein · “Market Perform” from “Outperform”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
2 more companies list WING as a comparable

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just WING. No account.

About Wingstop

Wingstop Inc., together with its affiliated companies, manages and licenses a network of restaurants known by the Wingstop brand. These establishments are recognized for their made-to-order offerings, including classic bone-in wings, boneless wings, and tenders, all freshly cooked and expertly hand-tossed in a wide array of distinctive sauces. By December 25, 2021, Wingstop's extensive reach encompassed 1,695 independently operated franchise locations and 36 company-owned stores, spread throughout 44 U.S. states and seven countries globally. This enterprise, which was founded in 1994, has its corporate headquarters located in Addison, Texas.

CEO
Michael J. Skipworth
Headquarters
Dallas, TX
Employees
1,367
IPO
2015-06-12
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.