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CAVA Group, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

CAVA
NYSEConsumer CyclicalRestaurantsCIK 0001639438cava.comAbout CAVA
Last close · Oct 26, 202651.53−1.95 (−3.65%)
Market cap$6.0B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
7.81
CAVA closed at $51.53 — overvalued by 560% vs model.
4.90the model's range15.26

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a high-growth company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
7.68 – 70.93
Wall St. target
85.00 39% below
Past year
—

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Valuation models

price $51.53 · as of Oct 27, 2026

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a high-growth company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How we value a stock walks through every input. The price is 560% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.

engine pkg:0.1.0

Research on CAVA

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How it is valued

Valued asHigh growth
High revenue growth (~27% recent)Moderate margins (5% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for high-growth companies
Price / sales
5.1×
Revenue growth
22.4%
Gross margin
18.4%
Operating margin
6.7%
FCF margin
2.2%
EV / EBITDA
42.9×
On the lists: #28 Insider buying
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-08Melius Research · “Buy” from “Hold”upgrade
10-08Melius Research · target95.00
09-16Seaport Global · target58.00
08-13D.A. Davidson · target75.00
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just CAVA. No account.

About CAVA

CAVA Group, Inc. is a company that oversees and runs a chain of Mediterranean restaurants. Their culinary offerings encompass a range of salads, savory dips, spreads, various toppings, and distinctive dressings. Beyond its dining establishments, the company distributes its products through whole food markets and other grocery retailers. Customers also have the option to utilize online food ordering services for convenience. Founded in 2006, CAVA Group, Inc. maintains its primary business operations in Washington, D.C.

CEO
Brett Schulman
Headquarters
Washington, DC
Employees
13,480
IPO
2023-06-16
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.