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Uber Technologies, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

UBER
NYSETechnologySoftware - ApplicationCIK 0001543151uber.comAbout UBER
Last close · Oct 16, 202670.35−0.92 (−1.29%)
Market cap$143.7B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
62.61
Uber closed at $70.35 — overvalued by 12% vs model.
42.52the model's range121.90

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a high-growth company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
30.45 – 157.24
Wall St. target
100.00 30% below
Above model, 1y
8 of 22 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Research on UBER

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How it is valued

Valued asHigh growth
Moderate growth (~18% recent)Moderate margins (19% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (6.8%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for high-growth companies
Price / sales
2.8×
Revenue growth
18.3%
Gross margin
39.8%
Operating margin
10.7%
FCF margin
18.8%
EV / EBITDA
21.1×
On the lists: #4 Insider buying
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-05Wells Fargo · target92.00
09-10Arete Research · target74.00
09-09Scotiabank · target100.00
02-05Citizens · “Market Outperform” from “Market Perform”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
1 more company lists UBER as a comparable
Side by side:vs DASH

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just UBER. No account.

About Uber

Uber Technologies, Inc. is a leading technology corporation that conceptualizes and deploys its proprietary software applications across a broad global footprint, spanning North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific region. The company primarily serves as a digital nexus, linking consumers with independent transport providers for ride-hailing services. Furthermore, it connects individuals and other patrons with a variety of establishments—such as restaurants, grocery stores, and other retailers—to a network of delivery service providers for the preparation and transport of meals, groceries, and other goods. The organization structures its operations into three distinct divisions: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight. The Mobility division facilitates access for consumers to a wide array of transportation options offered by drivers, including traditional cars, auto rickshaws, motorbikes, minibuses, or taxis. This segment also incorporates financial collaborations, public transit integrations, and various vehicle-centric solutions. The Delivery division empowers users to easily locate and place orders from local eateries for either collection or delivery. Additionally, it encompasses the delivery of groceries, alcoholic beverages, convenience items, and a selection of other merchandise. The Freight division functions by pairing freight carriers with shippers through its platform, providing carriers with clear, pre-disclosed pricing and streamlined shipment booking capabilities, alongside broader transportation management and logistics services. Originally incorporated as Ubercab, Inc., the company officially adopted the name Uber Technologies, Inc. in February 2011. It was established in 2009 and maintains its principal offices in San Francisco, California.

CEO
Dara Khosrowshahi
Headquarters
San Francisco, CA
Employees
36,600
IPO
2019-05-10
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.