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Trane Technologies plc — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

TT
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachineryCIK 0001466258tranetechnologies.comAbout TT
Last close · Oct 16, 2026458.89+1.53 (+0.33%)
Market cap$101.0B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
273.30
Trane Technologies closed at $458.89 — overvalued by 68% vs model.
188.76the model's range504.93

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
86.10 – 749.64
Wall St. target
536.00 14% below
Above model, 1y
17 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
0.89%
Past 2 years
low 0.75%high 1.10%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.30Sep ’21$2.60Sep ’22$2.92Aug ’23$3.27Sep ’24$3.66Sep ’25$4.09TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
29.8%
Raised
15 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
12.2% a year
Last change
+11.7% · Mar 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $1.05, paid Sep 30, 2026

Research on TT

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & Stable
Low/slowing growth (~10% recent)Moderate margins (14% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025
P/E
35.4×
EV / EBITDA
24.9×
FCF yield
2.7%
Dividend yield, TTM
0.89%
Beta
1.16
Cost of capital (WACC)
9.42%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-15Mizuho Securities · target485.00
10-14Goldman Sachs · “Buy” from “Neutral”upgrade
10-14Goldman Sachs · target565.00
09-24Wells Fargo · target536.00
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
2 more companies list TT as a comparable

The weekly

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About Trane Technologies

Trane Technologies plc designs, manufactures, sells, and services of solutions for heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and custom and transport refrigeration. It offers air conditioners, exchangers, and handlers; airside and terminal devices; air sourced heat pumps; chillers; coils and condensers; auxiliary power, cold storage, and condensing units; controls contracting and commissioning, decarbonization programs, and gensets; dehumidifiers; energy and water efficiency programs; energy recovery ventilators and power solutions; energy storage; furnaces; home automation; humidifiers; HVAC performance-monitoring products; and indoor air quality assessments and related products for HVAC and transport solutions. The company also provides asset management, building management, bus air purification, bus and rail HVAC, container refrigeration, control, ductless, geothermal, data center and multi-pipe HVAC, package heating and cooling, rail refrigeration, residential air filtration, self and vehicle powered truck refrigeration, temporary heating and cooling, truck refrigeration, unitary, variable refrigerant flow, and trailer refrigeration systems. In addition, it offers industrial process refrigeration, installation contracting, lighting retrofit, medical grade refrigeration, refrigerant reclamation, renewable energy and storage, residential hybrid heating, telematics, thermostats/controls and associated digital, ventilation, and stationary cold storage solutions; packaged rooftop units; rate chambers; residential air filters; thermal energy storage; transport heater products; temperature freezers; energy infrastructure programs and management, repair and maintenance, smart and AI-enabled, and rental services; water source heat pumps; and aftermarket and OEM parts and supplies. The company was formerly known as Ingersoll-Rand Plc and changed its name to Trane Technologies plc in March 2020. The company was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Swords, Ireland.

CEO
David S. Regnery
Headquarters
Swords, DU
Employees
44,000
IPO
1980-03-17
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.