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The Sherwin-Williams Company — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

SHW
NYSEBasic MaterialsChemicals - SpecialtyCIK 0000089800sherwin-williams.comAbout SHW
Last close · Oct 16, 2026335.20−1.72 (−0.51%)
Market cap$81.4B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
190.19
Sherwin-Williams closed at $335.20 — overvalued by 76% vs model.
111.21the model's range448.59

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
59.33 – 376.68
Wall St. target
393.50 15% below
Above model, 1y
95 of 95 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Valuation models

price $335.20 · as of Oct 17, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused111.21 – 448.59190.1976% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y123.33 – 452.95201.5866% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y98.75 – 271.63177.9988% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y113.96 – 295.45191.3775% overvaluedP/E · peers162.12 – 186.29169.8397% overvaluedP/E · own history356.50 – 404.25376.6811% undervaluedPEG—165.16103% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers128.54 – 152.97128.75160% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers95.82 – 119.34103.56224% overvaluedEarnings power value42.00 – 83.9659.33465% overvaluedDividend discount50.28 – 114.8072.09365% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—393.5015% belowCost of capital (WACC)—8.62%—

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How we value a stock walks through every input.

engine pkg:0.1.0

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
0.95%
Past 2 years
low 0.71%high 1.09%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.10Aug ’21$2.35Aug ’22$2.42Aug ’23$2.75Aug ’24$3.09Aug ’25$3.19TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
29.8%
Raised
40+ years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
8.8% a year
Last change
+1.3% · Mar 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.80, paid Sep 11, 2026

Research on SHW

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & Stable
Low/slowing growth (~1% recent)Moderate margins (11% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 3.2x)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025
P/E
32.6×
EV / EBITDA
21.8×
FCF yield
3.2%
Dividend yield, TTM
0.95%
Beta
1.08
Cost of capital (WACC)
8.62%
On the lists: #21 Dividend growth streaks
Full financials

Superinvestors

13F · Q2 2026
All 8 holders

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-12Barclays · target348.00
10-09RBC Capital · target392.00
10-06Melius Research · target367.00
06-02UBS · “Neutral” from “Buy”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Recent

filings, insider trades and key news
60 filings · 40 insider transactions

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
PPGPPG IndustriesMASMascoECLEcolabDDDuPontLINLindeHDHome Depot
1 more company lists SHW as a comparable
APDAir Products

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just SHW. No account.

About Sherwin-Williams

The Sherwin-Williams Company engages in the development, manufacture, distribution, and sale of paint, coatings, and related products to professional, industrial, commercial and retail customers. The company operates through three segments: Paint Stores Group, Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group. The Paint Stores Group segment offers architectural paint and coatings; protective and marine products; and OEM product finishes and related products for architectural and industrial paint contractors, and do-it-yourself homeowners under the Sherwin-Williams brand. The Consumer Brands Group segment supplies a portfolio of branded and private-label architectural paints, stains, varnishes, industrial products, wood finishes products, wood preservatives, applicators, corrosion inhibitors, aerosols, caulks, and adhesives to retailers, including home centers and hardware stores, and dedicated dealers and distributors. The Performance Coatings Group segment develops and sells industrial coatings for wood finishing and general industrial applications; automotive refinish products; protective and marine coatings; coil coatings; packaging coatings; and performance-based resins and colorants. This segment serves retailers, dealers, jobbers, licensees, and other third-party distributors. The company operates in North America, South America, the Caribbean, Europe, Asia, and Australia. The Sherwin-Williams Company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.

CEO
Heidi G. Petz
Headquarters
Cleveland, OH
Employees
64,249
IPO
1980-03-17
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.