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Ecolab Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

ECL
NYSEBasic MaterialsChemicals - SpecialtyCIK 0000031462ecolab.comAbout ECL
Last close · Oct 16, 2026288.89−1.92 (−0.66%)
Market cap$81.0B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
151.67
Ecolab closed at $288.89 — overvalued by 90% vs model.
92.76the model's range353.39

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
42.99 – 319.23
Wall St. target
335.50 14% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.01%
Past 2 years
low 0.87%high 1.12%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$1.92Sep ’21$2.04Sep ’22$2.12Sep ’23$2.28Sep ’24$2.60Sep ’25$2.92TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
39.6%
Raised
38 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
8.7% a year
Last change
+12.3% · Dec 2025
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.73, paid Oct 15, 2026

Research on ECL

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & Stable
Low/slowing growth (~2% recent)Moderate margins (13% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025
P/E
39.7×
EV / EBITDA
25.6×
FCF yield
2.3%
Dividend yield, TTM
1.01%
Beta
0.88
Cost of capital (WACC)
8.46%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-05UBS · target344.00
07-29BMO Capital · target360.00
07-29UBS · target342.00
07-17Oppenheimer · “Outperform” from “Perform”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
2 more companies list ECL as a comparable

The weekly

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About Ecolab

Ecolab Inc. provides water, hygiene, and infection prevention solutions and services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Global Water, Global Institutional & Specialty, Global Pest Elimination, and Global Life Sciences. The Global Water segment offers water treatment and process applications, and cleaning and sanitizing solutions to manufacturing, food and beverage processing, transportation, chemical, primary metals and mining, power generation, global refining, petrochemical, pulp and paper industries. The Global Institutional & Specialty segment provides cleaning and sanitizing products to the foodservice, healthcare, hospitality, lodging, government, education and retail industries. The Global Pest Elimination segment provides pest elimination services to detect, prevent, and eliminate pests comprising rodents and insects in full-service and quick-service restaurants, food and beverage processors, hotels, grocery operations, and other commercial segments, including education, life sciences, and healthcare. The Global Life Sciences segment provides cleaning and contamination control solutions to pharmaceutical and personal care manufacturers. It offers its products under the Ecolab, Kay, Purolite, and Bioquell brand names. The company sells its products through field sales and corporate account personnel, distributors, and dealers. Ecolab Inc. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Saint Paul, Minnesota.

CEO
Christophe Beck
Headquarters
Saint Paul, MN
Employees
48,000
IPO
1973-02-21
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.