SweetValueLab
Write for us

Northrop Grumman Corporation — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

NOC
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseCIK 0001133421northropgrumman.comAbout NOC
Last close · Oct 16, 2026519.86+20.23 (+4.05%)
Market cap$73.9B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
879.58
Northrop Grumman closed at $519.86 — undervalued by 41% vs model.
418.18the model's range1,436.17

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
231.42 – 940.76
Wall St. target
612.00 15% below
Below model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

Embed this card

NOC's close against its model value, as a 420×168 card for your own page. It updates nightly with this site and links back here.

Free to embed; keep the attribution link.
Loading chart…
What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.84%
Past 2 years
low 1.20%high 2.02%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$6.04Aug ’21$6.60Aug ’22$7.20Aug ’23$7.86Sep ’24$8.74Sep ’25$9.56TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
39.1%
Raised
22 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
9.6% a year
Last change
+6.9% · Jun 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $2.47, paid Sep 16, 2026

Research on NOC

No posts on NOC yet.
Studied NOC from its filings? Guest posts are reviewed before they go live.Write about NOC →

How it is valued

Valued asMature & stable
Low/slowing growth (~3% recent)Moderate margins (10% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for mature companies
P/E
17.9×
EV / EBITDA
11.8×
FCF yield
4.4%
Dividend yield, TTM
1.84%
Beta
-0.11
Cost of capital (WACC)
5.96%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-14Bernstein · target556.00
10-08Barclays · target419.00
10-06Redburn Partners · target680.00
10-02RBC Capital · “Sector Perform” from “Outperform”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
3 more companies list NOC as a comparable
Side by side:vs LMT

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just NOC. No account.

About Northrop Grumman

Northrop Grumman Corporation is a leading global player in the aerospace and defense sectors. Its Aeronautics Systems division is responsible for the full lifecycle of aircraft, from design and development to production, integration, and ongoing maintenance. This includes a diverse portfolio of crewed and uncrewed aerial platforms: advanced strategic long-range strike aircraft, tactical fighter and air superiority jets, and sophisticated airborne systems for battle management and command and control. Additionally, it specializes in autonomous uncrewed aircraft systems, such as high-altitude, long-endurance strategic intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) platforms, alongside vertical take-off and landing tactical ISR systems. The Defense Systems segment focuses on creating and delivering a wide array of weapons and mission technologies. Its offerings encompass integrated battle management solutions, various weapons platforms, and specialized aircraft. Key products include command and control systems, munitions, and missiles, alongside precision strike capabilities. The segment is also at the forefront of propulsion technologies, offering both air-breathing and advanced hypersonic systems, as well as sophisticated gun systems and precision munitions. Beyond products, it provides comprehensive life-cycle support, including software services, ongoing maintenance, logistics, operational assistance, and modernization efforts for air, sea, and ground-based defense systems. Within its Mission Systems division, Northrop Grumman delivers critical capabilities spanning cybersecurity, C4ISR (command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance). This includes developing advanced sensing technologies such as radar, electro-optical/infrared, and acoustic sensors, alongside electronic warfare systems. The division also provides cutting-edge communications and networking solutions, intelligence processing, navigation systems, and maritime power, propulsion, and payload launch systems. Furthermore, it supplies airborne multifunction sensors, integrated maritime and land-based systems, targeting and survivability solutions, and robust networked information platforms. The Space Systems segment is a key provider of space-based solutions, delivering satellites and their associated payloads, along with essential ground control systems. It specializes in missile defense systems, including interceptors, and offers a range of launch vehicles with their propulsion components, as well as strategic missile technologies. Established in 1939, the corporation maintains its headquarters in Falls Church, Virginia.

CEO
Kathy J. Warden
Headquarters
Falls Church, VA
Employees
95,000
IPO
1981-12-31
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.