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MercadoLibre, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

MELI
NASDAQConsumer CyclicalSpecialty RetailCIK 0001099590mercadolibre.comAbout MELI
Last close · Oct 16, 20261,834.00−22.98 (−1.24%)
Market cap$93.0B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
190.86
MercadoLibre closed at $1,834.00 — overvalued by 861% vs model.
92.45the model's range538.88

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a high-growth company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
53.87 – 3,538.78
Wall St. target
2,400.00 24% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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How it is valued

Valued asHigh growth
High revenue growth (~39% recent)Moderate margins (10% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 2.0x)Strong FCF yield (11.6%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for high-growth companies
Price / sales
3.2×
Revenue growth
34.3%
Gross margin
44.5%
Operating margin
11.1%
FCF margin
37.3%
EV / EBITDA
41.1×
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-12Cantor Fitzgerald · target2,200.00
10-06Susquehanna · target2,400.00
09-23New Street · target2,450.00
05-13Citigroup · “Neutral” from “Buy”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label

The weekly

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About MercadoLibre

MercadoLibre, Inc. operates as a prominent provider of digital commerce platforms throughout Latin America. Its primary service, the Mercado Libre Marketplace, is an automated online system allowing businesses, independent vendors, and private individuals to list merchandise and finalize sales. Supporting this, the Mercado Pago FinTech platform offers a financial technology solution, facilitating transactions both on and off its e-commerce sites by enabling users to securely send and receive online payments and transfer funds via web and mobile applications. The company further expands its financial offerings through Mercado Fondo, a service that permits users to invest balances held in their Mercado Pago accounts, and Mercado Credito, which extends credit options to qualified merchants and consumers. For logistics, Mercado Envios provides a comprehensive solution, empowering sellers on its platform to utilize third-party delivery services and other logistical partners, including warehousing and fulfillment capabilities. Beyond these core services, MercadoLibre also runs Mercado Libre Classifieds, an online classifieds platform for motor vehicles, real estate, and professional services. Mercado Libre Ads serves as an advertising platform, assisting major retailers and brands in promoting their products and services across the internet. Lastly, Mercado Shops offers a solution for users to establish, manage, and market their personalized online storefronts. Founded in 1999, MercadoLibre, Inc. is headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay.

CEO
Ariel Szarfsztejn
Headquarters
Montevideo, MO
Employees
123,670
IPO
2007-08-10
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.