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e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. — Stock Analysis: Intrinsic Value, Grades & Financials

ELF
NYSEConsumer DefensiveHousehold & Personal ProductsCIK 0001600033elfbeauty.comAbout ELF
Quant grade ?B
Last close · Oct 30, 2026111.69−1.26 (−1.12%)
00

Summary

ELF at a glance

written from the figures on this page · updated nightly

e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) holds a Quant grade of B (model v1, Oct 30), on a scale from S, the best, to D. It closed at $111.69 on Oct 30, 2026, overvalued by 410% vs model: DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y puts it at $21.89 a share. The other 7 models range from $6.63 to $186.28, and the median analyst target is $110.50 from 10 firms.

In Q1 FY2027, the latest quarter on file, revenue grew 36% on a year earlier to $479.4M, with an operating margin of 21.4%. Over the twelve months to Q1 FY2027, free cash flow was $280.2M.

Among the superinvestors tracked here, Bridgewater reduced. Insiders sold $9.6M and made no open-market purchases over the last 90 days. The latest filing is an 8-K (current report), filed Aug 24.

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close
Market value
$6.6B
52-week range
$48.82 – $123.07
−9% from the high
P/E, trailing
114.0×
close ÷ 12-month EPS
EV / EBITDA
44.6×
last fiscal year
Price / sales
3.7×
trailing 12 months
Price / FCF
23.5×
trailing 12 months
Dividend yield
none
trailing 12 months
Beta
2.39
Shares, diluted
0.06B
Avg. volume
2.0M
Price change1M +7.3%6M +84.6%YTD +46.9%1Y −12.0%2Y +1.2%
01

Valuation

All 8 models →

e.l.f. Beauty closed at $111.69, overvalued by 410% vs model (DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y, 21.89).

Today
–
Valuation grade
site models · —
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
21.89
overvalued by 410% vs model
19.17the model's range25.94

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a high-growth company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow.

Beside it
Other models
6.63 – 186.28
Wall St. target
110.50 1% above
Above model, past year
0 of 0 days
Valued as
High Growth

Every model

the price against each
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused$21.89410% overvalued
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y$26.80317% overvalued
P/E · peers$10.99916% overvalued
EV/EBITDA · peers$26.54321% overvalued
EV/Revenue · peers$16.34584% overvalued
PEG$91.7422% overvalued
P/E · own history$186.2840% undervalued
Earnings power value$6.631585% overvalued

Against its peers and its past

ELFPeers' medianOwn 5-yr median
P/E · last fiscal year253.8×30.5×70.4×
Free cash flow yield2.9%4.2%
Operating margin8.0%16.8%
Revenue growth24.6%2.4%

Peers are the comparable companies below; the five-year median is at each fiscal year's close.

What the price implies

26.3% a year

The free cash flow growth for five years, then a fade to 2.5%, at which today's price is a fair value — discounted at 11.7%. The reverse DCF →

Risk-free rate
4.94%
Beta × equity premium
1.93 × 4.14%
Cost of equity
12.93%
Cost of debt
4.94%
Equity weight
88%
WACC
11.75%
02

Quant

Quant grade over time →

Quant grade B from model v1, set before the Oct 30 open. S is the best, D the worst. What the grade means

Today
B
Quant grade
model v1 · Oct 30
Sessions on file
B
Consumer Defensive, 31 stocks graded
6S
13A
12B
0C
0D
Comparable companies
  • ELA
  • KVUEA
  • CLS
  • PGA
  • CHDA
  • ULTAS
03

Growth and forecasts

Every estimate →

Analysts expect revenue to grow 13.3% a year over the next 3 years, against 38.8% a year over the last five.

Revenue, reported and expected
FY2025$1.3BFY2026$1.6BFY2027E$2.0BFY2028E$2.2BFY2029E$2.4B
ReportedConsensus, with the analysts' low–high
The consensus, year by year
RevenueGrowthEPSGrowthAnalysts
FY2025$1.3B+28.3%$1.92−13.1%reported
FY2026$1.6B+24.6%$0.44−77.1%reported
FY2027E$2.0B+21.1%$3.67+18.3%15
FY2028E$2.2B+9.0%$3.94+7.3%14
FY2029E$2.4B+10.1%$4.54+15.3%6
Revenue, last 5 years
38.8% a year
Consensus, next 3 years
13.3% a year

The analysts' estimates, as FMP collects them — their figures, not this site's. Reported EPS is GAAP diluted.

04

Financials

Full statements →

In Q1 FY2027, the latest quarter on file, revenue grew 36% on a year earlier to $479.4M, with an operating margin of 21.4%. Over the twelve months to Q1 FY2027, free cash flow was $280.2M.

Last 8 quarters
Q2 ’25$301.1MQ3 ’25$355.3MQ4 ’25$332.6MQ1 ’26$353.7M+14%Q2 ’26$343.9M+38%Q3 ’26$489.5M+35%Q4 ’26$449.3M+36%Q1 ’27$479.4M9.3%9.9%13.3%13.8%2.2%13.8%1.6%21.4%
Revenue, % change on the same quarter a year earlierOperating margin
Twelve months to Q1 FY2027
LatestYear beforeChange
Revenue$1.8B$1.3B+31%
Operating income$185.0M$156.0M+19%
Net income$59.6M$97.8M−39%
Free cash flow$280.2M$135.0M+108%
Diluted EPS$0.98$1.69−42%
Cash and investments
$344.2M
Total debt
$921.7M
Revenue$1.6B
FY2018–20263 yr +41.4%/yr5 yr +38.8%/yr
Operating income$131.3M
FY2018–20263 yr +24.4%/yr5 yr +69.4%/yr
Net income$26.3M
FY2018–20263 yr −24.7%/yr5 yr +33.4%/yr
Diluted EPS$0.44
FY2018–20263 yr −26.5%/yr5 yr +29.7%/yr
Operating cash flow$212.5M
FY2018–20263 yr +27.8%/yr5 yr +48.5%/yr
Free cash flow$190.1M
FY2018–20263 yr +23.8%/yr5 yr +52.6%/yr
05

Profitability and health

Every ratio →

Operating margin 8.0% in fiscal 2026, against 7.6% in 2022; net debt of $577.4M at the latest quarter.

FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026Trend
Gross margin64.2%67.4%70.7%71.2%70.7%
Operating margin7.6%11.8%14.6%12.0%8.0%
Net margin5.6%10.6%12.5%8.5%1.6%
Return on equity7.0%15.0%19.9%14.7%2.3%
Debt to equity0.37×0.20×0.45×0.41×0.81×
Interest coverage12.18×17.08×12.64×9.20×3.22×
Current ratio2.97×2.81×1.59×3.05×2.35×
Net debt, latest quarter
$577.4M
Diluted shares, a year
+1.7%
a fall is a buyback, a rise dilution
Diluted shares, five years
+14.2%
06

Peers

Peers in full →

ELF beside 6 comparable companies, chosen by business, not by industry label.

CompanyMarket valueP/EFCF yieldGross marginOp. marginRevenue growthValuationQuant
ELF e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.$6.6B253.8×2.9%70.7%8.0%+24.6%–B
PG The Procter & Gamble Company$374.5B24.4×4.0%50.2%22.7%+3.3%CA
CL Colgate-Palmolive Company$76.0B36.2×4.8%60.1%16.2%+1.4%CS
EL The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.$39.6B218.5×3.3%75.5%11.1%+5.1%DA
KVUE Kenvue Inc.$37.1B25.4×4.6%58.1%17.9%−2.1%SA
ULTA Ulta Beauty, Inc.$27.4B25.0×3.9%39.1%12.5%+9.7%CS
CHD Church & Dwight Co., Inc.$25.4B35.5×4.3%44.7%17.4%+1.6%DA
07

Ownership

Every holder →
What 13F filers did in the quarter
Bridgewaterreduced$247,974
Insiders, last 90 days
Open-market buys
None
Sales
$9.6M
13 filings, plan sales included
  • Franks Joshua AllenOct 15 · SVP, Operations−$873,071.9
  • Franks Joshua AllenOct 12 · SVP, Operations−$920,310.2
  • AMIN TARANGOct 1 · Chief Executive Officer−$212,745.6
  • AMIN TARANGOct 1 · Chief Executive Officer−$2.3M
08

Wall Street

Every firm →

10 firms published a price target in the last 90 days: the median is $110.50, 1% below the close.

Price targets, 10 firms, last 90 days
low $65.00median $110.50 · 1% below the closehigh $127.00
Firms' latest grades, 12 months
11 positive5 neutral0 negative1 upgrades · 2 downgrades

Third-party ratings and targets, quoted as the firms published them — not this site's view.

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-21Deutsche Bank · target105.00
10-15Morgan Stanley · target103.00
10-15UBS · target116.00
08-05Bernstein · “Outperform” from “Market Perform”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates
09

News and filings

All news →
10

About

Company profile →

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc., a beauty company, provides cosmetics and skin care products worldwide. The company offers eye, lip, face, paw, and skin care products. It offers products under the e.l.f. Cosmetics, e.l.f. Skin, Well People, Naturium, and Keys Soulcare brand names. The company sells its products through national and international retailer and direct-to-consumer through its e-commerce channel. e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. was formerly known as J.A. Cosmetics Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. in April 2016. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Oakland, California.

CEO
Tarang Amin
Employees
849
Headquarters
Oakland, CA
Listed
2016

Research on ELF

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Model estimates and grades for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; each section is explained in the manual.