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Bunge Global S.A. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

BG
NYSEConsumer DefensiveAgricultural Farm ProductsCIK 0001996862bunge.comAbout BG
Last close · Oct 16, 2026106.14−0.87 (−0.81%)
Market cap$20.4B
Model value · P/E · peers
104.71
Bunge Global closed at $106.14 — overvalued by 1% vs model.
92.08the model's range161.88

P/E · peers leads because DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y returned no positive value. From its peers' median P/E.

Other models
15.64 – 235.74
Wall St. target
140.00 24% below
Above model, 1y
8 of 15 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
2.68%
Past 2 years
low 2.15%high 3.91%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.03Aug ’21$2.20Aug ’22$2.54Aug ’23$2.69Aug ’24$2.76Aug ’25$2.84TTM
Coverage
—
Raised
5 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
7.0% a year
Last change
+2.9% · May 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.72, paid Sep 1, 2026

Research on BG

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How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-3% recent)Thin margins (4.8% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earningsNegative free cash flow
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for cyclical companies
P/E
21.6×
EV / EBITDA
78.4×
FCF yield
-5.3%
Dividend yield, TTM
2.68%
Beta
0.72
Cost of capital (WACC)
6.55%
On the lists: #24 Insider buying
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
09-10UBS · target115.00
09-10UBS · target155.00
08-13BMO Capital · target150.00
12-16Morgan Stanley · “Overweight” from “Equal Weight”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just BG. No account.

About Bunge Global

Bunge Global S.A., established in 1818 and headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, operates as a prominent international agribusiness and food corporation. Its diverse operations are categorized into four main divisions: Agribusiness, Refined and Specialty Oils, Milling, and Sugar and Bioenergy. The Agribusiness segment involves the sourcing, storage, transportation, processing, and sale of agricultural goods and their derivatives. Key commodities include various oilseeds such as soybeans, rapeseed, canola, and sunflower seeds, alongside grains like wheat and corn. These oilseeds are further processed into vegetable oils and protein-rich meals. This segment supplies a wide range of clients, including animal feed and livestock producers, millers of wheat and corn, other oilseed processors, and companies involved in edible oil and biofuel production, catering to both industrial and biodiesel applications. The Refined and Specialty Oils division produces and distributes a variety of packaged and bulk oils and fats. Offerings span cooking oils, shortenings, margarines, and mayonnaise, as well as specialized products for baked goods, snacks, and confectionery. Its clientele includes food manufacturers (e.g., bakeries, snack producers, confectioners, infant nutrition companies), restaurant chains, foodservice providers, and various retail channels such as grocery stores, wholesalers, and distributors. Within the Milling segment, Bunge provides an array of milled products. This includes diverse wheat flours and bakery mixes. Corn milling offerings encompass dry and wet-milled corn meals and flours, masa, flaking, and brewer's grits, along with fortified corn meals and blends. The segment also supplies whole grain and fiber ingredients, specialty grains like quinoa and millet, die-cut pellets, and non-genetically modified products. Finally, the Sugar and Bioenergy segment focuses on the production of sugar and ethanol. An additional activity in this division is the generation of electricity by utilizing sugarcane bagasse.

CEO
Gregory A. Heckman
Headquarters
Chesterfield, MO
Employees
34,000
IPO
2001-08-02
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.