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Amcor plc — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

AMCR
NYSEConsumer CyclicalPackaging & ContainersCIK 0001748790amcor.comAbout AMCR
Last close · Oct 16, 202643.85+0.11 (+0.25%)
Market cap$20.3B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
72.81
Amcor closed at $43.85 — undervalued by 40% vs model.
32.80the model's range227.76

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
26.51 – 108.41
Wall St. target
51.00 14% below
Below model, 1y
17 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Valuation models

price $43.85 · as of Oct 17, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused32.80 – 227.7672.8140% undervaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y33.43 – 212.5669.9337% undervaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y15.66 – 73.2341.984% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y21.27 – 79.5145.965% undervaluedP/E · peers45.89 – 52.9950.9814% undervaluedP/E · own history61.03 – 77.0067.4835% undervaluedPEG—108.4160% undervaluedEV/EBITDA · peers36.03 – 42.9641.256% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers25.14 – 36.5332.5335% overvaluedEarnings power value16.39 – 42.6526.5165% overvaluedDividend discount32.01 – 81.1247.428% undervaluedWall St. consensus target—51.0014% belowCost of capital (WACC)—6.55%—

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How we value a stock walks through every input.

engine pkg:0.1.0

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
5.93%
#12 · Highest dividend yield
Past 2 years
low 4.35%high 7.02%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.35Sep ’21$2.40Sep ’22$2.45Sep ’23$2.50Sep ’24$2.55Sep ’25$2.60TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2026
97.2%
Raised
10 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
2.0% a year
Last change
+2.0% · Nov 2025
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.65, paid Sep 24, 2026

Research on AMCR

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & stable
High revenue growth (~31% recent)Thin margins (4.7% net margin)Strong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (6.1%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2026 · chosen for mature companies
P/E
18.4×
EV / EBITDA
9.8×
FCF yield
6.1%
Dividend yield, TTM
5.93%
Beta
0.58
Cost of capital (WACC)
6.55%
On the lists: #12 Highest dividend yield
Full financials

Superinvestors

13F · Q2 2026
All 2 holders

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
08-18Truist Financial · target51.00
08-17JP Morgan · “Neutral” from “Overweight”downgrade
08-11UBS · target56.00
07-22Jefferies · “Hold” from “Buy”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Recent

filings, insider trades and key news
84 filings · 40 insider transactions

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
BALLBallSWSmurfit WestrockPKGPackaging Corporation of AmericaAVYAvery DennisonIPInternational Paper

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just AMCR. No account.

About Amcor

Amcor plc stands as a prominent global provider of packaging solutions, focusing on the creation, production, and distribution of its diverse product portfolio across Europe, North America, Latin America, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. The company's operations are divided into two main segments: Flexibles and Rigid Packaging. The Flexibles division specializes in offering advanced flexible and film packaging solutions, catering to a wide array of industries including food and beverages, medical and pharmaceutical sectors, fresh produce, snack foods, and personal care items. Meanwhile, the Rigid Packaging segment is responsible for manufacturing robust containers suitable for an extensive range of liquid and food products. This includes packaging for carbonated soft drinks, various types of water, juices, sports drinks, dairy-based beverages, spirits, beer, sauces, dressings, spreads, and personal care necessities. Additionally, this segment produces plastic closures designed for numerous applications. Amcor predominantly sells its offerings directly to clients through its dedicated sales force. The company was founded in 2018 and its corporate headquarters are situated in Zürich, Switzerland.

CEO
Peter Konieczny
Headquarters
Zurich, ZH
Employees
75,000
IPO
2012-05-15
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.