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Wynn Resorts, Limited — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

WYNN
NASDAQConsumer CyclicalGambling, Resorts & CasinosCIK 0001174922wynnresorts.comAbout WYNN
Last close · Oct 16, 202675.60−1.37 (−1.78%)
Market cap$7.8B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
134.73
Wynn Resorts closed at $75.60 — undervalued by 44% vs model.
45.73the model's range474.79

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
13.93 – 138.60
Wall St. target
132.00 43% below
Below model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.32%
Past 2 years
low 0.75%high 1.51%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.50Aug ’23$1.00Aug ’24$1.00Aug ’25$1.00TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
25.2%
Raised
—
Growth, 3 yrs
-26.3% a year
Last change
−75.0% · May 2023
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.25, paid Aug 28, 2026

Research on WYNN

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How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Low/slowing growth (~5% recent)Decelerated from ~28% 5y CAGRThin margins (4.6% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 5.0x)Strong FCF yield (8.9%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for cyclical companies
P/E
24.1×
EV / EBITDA
9.6×
FCF yield
8.8%
Dividend yield, TTM
1.32%
Beta
0.95
Cost of capital (WACC)
6.58%
Full financials

Superinvestors

13F

None of the tracked managers reported a position in their latest 13F.

All 0 holders

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-13Goldman Sachs · target102.00
09-11UBS · target138.00
09-02Wolfe Research · target128.00
11-21Citigroup · “Buy” from “Neutral”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just WYNN. No account.

About Wynn Resorts

Wynn Resorts, Limited excels in the conceptualization, development, and operation of upscale integrated resort properties. The Wynn Palace, situated in Cotai, boasts a gaming floor spanning 424,000 square feet, which includes 323 table games, 1,035 slot machines, exclusive private gaming salons, and sky casinos. Accommodations are offered in a luxurious hotel tower featuring 1,706 guest rooms, suites, and villas, complemented by a health club, spa, salon, and swimming pool. This location further provides 14 distinct food and beverage establishments, 107,000 square feet for retail, 37,000 square feet of conference and event space, alongside a performance lake and elaborate floral displays. The Wynn Macau resort presents a 252,000 square-foot casino housing 331 table games, 818 slot machines, private gaming salons, sky casinos, and a dedicated poker room. Its two opulent hotel towers collectively feature 1,010 guest rooms and suites, enhanced by two health clubs, two spas, a salon, and a swimming pool. Guests also have access to 14 dining and drinking venues, 59,000 square feet of shopping areas, 31,000 square feet of meeting and convention facilities, and a unique Chinese zodiac-inspired ceiling. The company's Las Vegas operations encompass a 194,000 square-foot casino, equipped with 223 table games, 1,751 slot machines, private gaming salons, a sky casino, a poker room, and a race and sports book. Two lavish hotel towers offer 4,748 guest rooms, suites, and villas, complete with multiple swimming pools, private cabanas, two full-service spas and salons, and a wedding chapel. Additional amenities include 32 food and beverage outlets, a substantial 513,000 square feet of meeting and convention space, 155,000 square feet of retail offerings, two theaters, three nightclubs, and a beach club. Finally, the Encore Boston Harbor facility comprises a 211,000 square-foot casino area, featuring 184 table games, 2,766 slot machines, various gaming zones, and a poker room. Its high-end hotel tower contains 671 guest rooms and suites, alongside a spa and salon. This property also includes 15 food and beverage options, a nightclub, 10,000 square feet of retail space, 71,000 square feet dedicated to meetings and conventions, a waterfront park, floral arrangements, and water shuttle services. Established in 2002, Wynn Resorts maintains its corporate headquarters in Las Vegas, Nevada.

CEO
Craig S. Billings
Headquarters
Las Vegas, NV
Employees
28,500
IPO
2002-10-25
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.