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Smurfit Westrock plc — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

SW
NYSEConsumer CyclicalPackaging & ContainersCIK 0002005951smurfitwestrock.comAbout SW
Valuation grade ?S
Quant grade ?B
Last close · Oct 30, 202643.09+0.56 (+1.32%)
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
54.32
Smurfit Westrock closed at $43.09 — undervalued by 21% vs model.
36.73the model's range84.82

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
21.57 – 112.04
Wall St. target
55.00 22% below
Below model, 1y
29 of 30 days

How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
High revenue growth (~69% recent)Thin margins (2.2% net margin)Strong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (5.3%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.