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Palantir Technologies Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

PLTR
NASDAQTechnologySoftware - InfrastructureCIK 0001321655palantir.comAbout PLTR
Last close · Oct 16, 2026186.03−14.47 (−7.22%)
Market cap$428.0B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
47.84
Palantir closed at $186.03 — overvalued by 289% vs model.
33.04the model's range85.48

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a software company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
4.27 – 75.96
Wall St. target
230.00 19% below
Above model, 1y
78 of 78 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Valuation models

price $186.03 · as of Oct 17, 2026

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a software company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How we value a stock walks through every input. The price is 289% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.

engine pkg:0.1.0

Research on PLTR

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How it is valued

Valued asSoftware
High revenue growth (~42% recent)High profitability (36% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for software companies
Price / sales
98.5×
Revenue growth
56.2%
Gross margin
82.4%
FCF margin
46.9%
Rule of 40
103.1%
Operating margin
31.6%
On the lists: #25 Largest companies
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-15Mizuho Securities · target245.00
10-12Robert W. Baird · target250.00
10-08Goldman Sachs · “Buy” from “Neutral”upgrade
10-08Barclays · target265.00
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
Side by side:vs NVDA

The weekly

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About Palantir

Palantir Technologies Inc. engineers and deploys advanced software platforms primarily for the intelligence community, supporting counterterrorism investigations and operations across the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. One such product is Palantir Gotham, a sophisticated software system that enables users to uncover hidden patterns within diverse datasets, from signals intelligence to confidential informant reports. Gotham also facilitates the seamless handover between analysts and operational personnel, helping operators strategize and execute real-world responses to threats pinpointed within the platform. The company also offers Palantir Foundry, a platform that revolutionizes organizational operations by providing a central data operating system, allowing individual users to integrate and analyze their essential data in one cohesive environment. Additionally, Palantir provides Apollo, a software solution for delivering applications and updates across an enterprise, enabling clients to deploy their software in virtually any setting. Its Palantir Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) offers unified access to open-source, self-hosted, and commercial large language models (LLMs). AIP excels at transforming both structured and unstructured data into LLM-understandable objects, converting an organization's actions and processes into practical tools for human operators and LLM-driven agents alike. Founded in 2003, Palantir Technologies Inc. maintains its headquarters in Denver, Colorado.

CEO
Alexander C. Karp
Headquarters
Aventura, FL
Employees
4,401
IPO
2020-09-30
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.