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Palo Alto Networks, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

PANW
NASDAQTechnologySoftware - InfrastructureCIK 0001327567paloaltonetworks.comAbout PANW
Last close · Oct 16, 2026342.00−28.27 (−7.63%)
Market cap$279.8B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
31.89
Palo Alto Networks closed at $342.00 — overvalued by 972% vs model.
20.11the model's range78.93

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a software company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
37.36 – 141.34
Wall St. target
415.00 18% below
Above model, 1y
22 of 22 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Valuation models

price $342.00 · as of Oct 17, 2026

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a software company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How we value a stock walks through every input. The price is 972% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.

engine pkg:0.1.0

Research on PANW

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How it is valued

Valued asSoftware
Moderate growth (~20% recent)Thin margins (2.7% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2026 · chosen for software companies
Price / sales
22.3×
Revenue growth
24.5%
Gross margin
70.4%
FCF margin
35.8%
Rule of 40
60.3%
Operating margin
6.1%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-12Wells Fargo · target525.00
10-02Cowen & Co. · target440.00
09-28BTIG · target425.00
09-17Bernstein · “Market Perform” from “Outperform”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
1 more company lists PANW as a comparable
Side by side:vs CRWDvs FTNT

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just PANW. No account.

About Palo Alto Networks

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. is a global leader in providing advanced cybersecurity solutions. The company's core product line includes both hardware and software-based firewalls. It also offers Panorama, a sophisticated security management platform designed for centralized control of these firewall deployments, whether they are physical appliances, virtual instances, or situated in public or private cloud environments. Additionally, the firm provides virtual system upgrades to enhance the capacity of its physical firewall units. Complementing its core products, Palo Alto Networks delivers an extensive range of subscription services. These encompass robust threat prevention, protection against malware and advanced persistent threats, URL filtering, and security for both laptop and mobile devices. Further specialized subscriptions include DNS security, Internet of Things (IoT) security, SaaS security (via API and inline methods), threat intelligence, and data loss prevention. Beyond its product and subscription offerings, the company extends various expert services, such as cloud security, secure access solutions, security analytics and automation tools, and specialized cybersecurity consulting, often integrated with threat intelligence. Its professional services cover critical areas like architectural design and planning, system implementation, configuration, and seamless firewall migration. Educational resources, including certifications and both online and in-classroom training, are also available, alongside comprehensive support services. Palo Alto Networks distributes its security solutions both directly and through an extensive network of channel partners. Its diverse clientele primarily comprises medium to large-scale enterprises, service providers, and governmental organizations across a wide array of industries. These sectors include education, energy, financial services, healthcare, internet and media, manufacturing, the broader public sector, and telecommunications. Established in 2005, Palo Alto Networks maintains its corporate headquarters in Santa Clara, California.

CEO
Nikesh Arora
Headquarters
Santa Clara, CA
Employees
21,921
IPO
2012-07-20
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.