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Fortinet, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

FTNT
NASDAQTechnologySoftware - InfrastructureCIK 0001262039fortinet.comAbout FTNT
Last close · Oct 16, 2026169.13−12.78 (−7.03%)
Market cap$124.1B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
60.75
Fortinet closed at $169.13 — overvalued by 178% vs model.
41.62the model's range120.83

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a software company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
12.20 – 132.44
Wall St. target
175.00 3% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Valuation models

price $169.13 · as of Oct 17, 2026

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a software company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How we value a stock walks through every input. The price is 178% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.

engine pkg:0.1.0

Research on FTNT

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How it is valued

Valued asSoftware
Moderate growth (~13% recent)High profitability (27% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for software companies
Price / sales
18.5×
Revenue growth
14.2%
Gross margin
80.8%
FCF margin
32.7%
Rule of 40
46.9%
Operating margin
30.6%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-15Mizuho Securities · target160.00
10-15UBS · target200.00
10-12RBC Capital · target205.00
07-21Morgan Stanley · “Equal Weight” from “Underweight”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just FTNT. No account.

About Fortinet

Fortinet, Inc. specializes in delivering extensive, unified, and automated cybersecurity solutions to a global clientele, encompassing the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. At its core, the company offers FortiGate, a powerful platform combining hardware and software licenses that provides a comprehensive suite of security and networking functionalities. This includes firewall capabilities, intrusion prevention, anti-malware defense, virtual private network (VPN) services, application control, web filtering, anti-spam measures, and wide area network (WAN) acceleration. Beyond its flagship product, Fortinet provides a diverse portfolio of specialized security tools. These range from FortiSwitch for secure network switching and FortiAP for robust wireless connectivity, to FortiExtender, a versatile hardware appliance. For centralized network visibility and control, clients utilize FortiAnalyzer for logging, analysis, and reporting, and FortiManager for scalable administration of FortiGate devices. The company further fortifies digital defenses with FortiWeb (web application firewalls), FortiMail (secure email gateways), and FortiSandbox technology, which offers proactive threat detection and mitigation. Endpoint protection is a key focus, delivered through FortiClient (featuring pattern-based anti-malware, behavior-based exploit protection, web-filtering, and an application firewall) and the advanced FortiEDR/XDR suite, which leverages machine learning for anti-malware execution and real-time post-infection defense. Additionally, FortiToken and FortiAuthenticator product families provide essential multi-factor authentication to safeguard systems and data. Fortinet's service offerings include security subscriptions, technical support, professional consulting, and training programs. Its robust security technologies are distributed both directly to end-users and through an extensive network of channel partners. The company serves a wide array of sectors, including telecommunications, technology, government, financial services, education, retail, manufacturing, and healthcare. Headquartered in Sunnyvale, California, Fortinet, Inc. was established in 2000 and maintains a strategic alliance with Linksys.

CEO
Ken Xie
Headquarters
Sunnyvale, CA
Employees
15,472
IPO
2009-11-18
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.