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NXP Semiconductors N.V. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

NXPI
NASDAQTechnologySemiconductorsCIK 0001413447nxp.comAbout NXPI
Last close · Oct 16, 2026229.33−1.76 (−0.76%)
Market cap$57.8B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
164.27
NXP Semiconductors closed at $229.33 — overvalued by 40% vs model.
113.38the model's range279.55

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
48.57 – 666.12
Wall St. target
290.00 21% below
Above model, 1y
5 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.77%
Past 2 years
low 1.22%high 2.64%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.06Sep ’21$3.10Sep ’22$3.89Sep ’23$4.06Sep ’24$4.06Sep ’25$4.06TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
42.3%
Raised
—
Growth, 5 yrs
14.5% a year
Last change
+20.0% · Mar 2023
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $1.014, paid Oct 8, 2026

Research on NXPI

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How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-4% recent)Moderate margins (16% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for cyclical companies
P/E
28.8×
EV / EBITDA
17.5×
FCF yield
3.9%
Dividend yield, TTM
1.77%
Beta
1.81
Cost of capital (WACC)
10.19%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-08Citigroup · “Neutral” from “Buy”downgrade
10-05Stifel Nicolaus · target265.00
08-03UBS · “Neutral” from “Buy”downgrade
08-03UBS · target270.00
Ratings, targets and estimates

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just NXPI. No account.

About NXP Semiconductors

NXP Semiconductors N.V. specializes in the design and production of a broad array of semiconductor solutions. Its extensive portfolio encompasses various processing units, such as microcontrollers, application processors (including the popular i.MX series and its 8 and 9 families), and communication processors. NXP also provides advanced wireless connectivity solutions, featuring technologies like near-field communication (NFC), ultra-wideband (UWB), Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE), Zigbee, and integrated Wi-Fi and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth Systems-on-Chip (SoCs). Furthermore, its offerings extend to analog and interface devices, radio frequency power amplifiers, and robust security controllers. The company also develops semiconductor-based environmental and inertial sensors, including components for pressure, motion (inertial), magnetic fields, and gyroscopic measurements. These solutions find critical applications across diverse sectors, including the automotive industry, industrial automation, the Internet of Things (IoT), mobile computing, and communication infrastructure. NXP distributes its products globally, serving original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), contract manufacturers, and a network of distributors. Its operational footprint spans key global regions, including China, the Netherlands, the United States, Singapore, Germany, Japan, South Korea, and Malaysia, in addition to its broader international reach. Founded in 2006, the company initially operated as KASLION Acquisition B.V. before adopting its current name, NXP Semiconductors N.V., in May 2010. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Eindhoven, the Netherlands.

CEO
Rafael Sotomayor
Headquarters
Eindhoven, NB
Employees
32,169
IPO
2010-08-06
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.