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Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

MPWR
NASDAQTechnologySemiconductorsCIK 0001280452monolithicpower.comAbout MPWR
Last close · Oct 16, 20261,210.86−38.34 (−3.07%)
Market cap$59.5B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
376.03
Monolithic Power Systems closed at $1,210.86 — overvalued by 222% vs model.
271.54the model's range632.75

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a high-growth company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
102.98 – 1,497.09
Wall St. target
2,006.50 40% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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Daily close

Valuation models

price $1,210.86 · as of Oct 17, 2026

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a high-growth company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How we value a stock walks through every input. The price is 222% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.

engine pkg:0.1.0

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
0.62%
Past 2 years
low 0.40%high 1.17%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.30Sep ’21$2.85Sep ’22$3.75Sep ’23$4.75Sep ’24$5.93Sep ’25$7.56TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
42.8%
Raised
8 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
26.9% a year
Last change
+28.2% · Mar 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $2.00, paid Oct 15, 2026

Research on MPWR

No posts on MPWR yet.
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How it is valued

Valued asHigh growth
High revenue growth (~24% recent)High profitability (22% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for high-growth companies
Price / sales
20.8×
Revenue growth
26.4%
Gross margin
55.2%
Operating margin
26.1%
FCF margin
23.9%
EV / EBITDA
71.5×
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
08-20Arete Research · target2,013.00
07-31Needham · target2,000.00
07-31KeyBanc · target2,100.00
01-15Wells Fargo · “Overweight” from “Equal Weight”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just MPWR. No account.

About Monolithic Power Systems

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. specializes in the creation, promotion, and sale of advanced semiconductor components for power management. Their innovative solutions cater to a broad spectrum of industries, including information technology, data storage, automotive, industrial applications, telecommunications, and consumer electronics. A core offering consists of direct current (DC) to DC integrated circuits (ICs), which are vital for regulating and transforming electrical voltages in diverse systems such as portable gadgets, wireless local area network access points, personal computers, displays, car entertainment systems, and medical devices. Additionally, they provide integrated circuits specifically designed for lighting control, essential for illuminating liquid crystal display (LCD) panels in laptops, monitors, vehicle navigation systems, and televisions, alongside general illumination products. The company reaches its clientele, which includes major equipment manufacturers, design firms, and electronics assembly providers, as well as other customers, through both direct sales and an extensive network of distributors and resellers across key global regions like China, Taiwan, Europe, South Korea, Southeast Asia, Japan, the United States, and beyond. Founded in 1997, the company's headquarters are situated in Kirkland, Washington.

CEO
Michael R. Hsing
Headquarters
West Palm Beach, FL
Employees
4,501
IPO
2004-11-19
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.