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Nasdaq, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

NDAQ
NASDAQFinancial ServicesFinancial - Data & Stock ExchangesCIK 0001120193nasdaq.comAbout NDAQ
Last close · Oct 16, 202693.97+0.47 (+0.50%)
Market cap$52.5B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
42.98
Nasdaq closed at $93.97 — overvalued by 119% vs model.
24.40the model's range105.88

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
14.16 – 107.92
Wall St. target
109.50 14% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.23%
Past 2 years
low 1.02%high 1.46%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$0.69Sep ’21$0.76Sep ’22$0.84Sep ’23$0.92Sep ’24$1.02Sep ’25$1.16TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
30.2%
Raised
12 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
11.1% a year
Last change
+14.8% · Jun 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.31, paid Sep 25, 2026

Research on NDAQ

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & stable
Moderate growth (~17% recent)High profitability (22% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for mature companies
P/E
30.4×
EV / EBITDA
19.4×
FCF yield
3.7%
Dividend yield, TTM
1.23%
Beta
1.00
Cost of capital (WACC)
8.50%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-09Morgan Stanley · target118.00
10-02Piper Sandler · target108.00
10-01Wells Fargo · target100.00
02-26TD Cowen · “Buy” from “Hold”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
1 more company lists NDAQ as a comparable

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just NDAQ. No account.

About Nasdaq

Nasdaq, Inc., a technology powerhouse founded in 1971 and based in New York City, is dedicated to supporting capital markets and various other sectors worldwide. Its Market Technology division specializes in fighting financial crime, offering products like Nasdaq Trade Surveillance, a SaaS solution that assists brokers and market participants in meeting compliance requirements and internal surveillance policies. This segment also provides Nasdaq Automated Investigator, a cloud-deployed anti-money laundering tool, and Verafin, a SaaS provider for anti-financial crime management. Furthermore, this division handles a wide array of assets, including cash equities, equity derivatives, global currencies, interest-bearing securities, commodities, energy resources, and digital currencies. The Investment Intelligence segment is responsible for distributing both historical and live market data, creating and licensing Nasdaq-branded financial indexes and products, and delivering valuable investment insights and workflow solutions. Through its Corporate Platforms, Nasdaq manages operational listing venues and furnishes specialized intelligence for investor relations, alongside comprehensive governance services. The Market Services segment covers a broad spectrum of operations, including the trading and clearing of equity derivatives, cash equities, fixed income, and commodities, in addition to providing trade management services. This division operates numerous exchanges and marketplace facilities that accommodate diverse asset classes such as derivatives, commodities, cash equity, debt, structured products, and exchange-traded products, while also offering crucial broker, clearing, settlement, and central depository functionalities. As of December 31, 2021, The Nasdaq Stock Market proudly listed 4,178 companies, specifically 1,632 on The Nasdaq Global Select Market, 1,169 on The Nasdaq Global Market, and 1,377 on The Nasdaq Capital Market. The company adopted its current name, Nasdaq, Inc., in September 2015, having previously been known as The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.

CEO
Adena T. Friedman
Headquarters
New York City, NY
Employees
9,630
IPO
2002-07-01
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.