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Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

ICE
NYSEFinancial ServicesFinancial - Data & Stock ExchangesCIK 0001571949ice.comAbout ICE
Last close · Oct 16, 2026161.56+3.15 (+1.99%)
Market cap$90.7B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
116.55
Intercontinental Exchange closed at $161.56 — overvalued by 39% vs model.
65.22the model's range311.91

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
45.37 – 230.71
Wall St. target
178.00 9% below
Above model, 1y
9 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.26%
Past 2 years
low 0.99%high 1.63%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$1.29Sep ’21$1.47Sep ’22$1.64Sep ’23$1.77Sep ’24$1.89Sep ’25$2.04TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
25.8%
Raised
11 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
9.6% a year
Last change
+8.3% · Mar 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.52, paid Sep 30, 2026

Research on ICE

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & stable
Moderate growth (~13% recent)High profitability (26% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for mature companies
P/E
28.0×
EV / EBITDA
16.6×
FCF yield
4.6%
Dividend yield, TTM
1.26%
Beta
0.94
Cost of capital (WACC)
8.12%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-14Wells Fargo · target160.00
10-09Morgan Stanley · target173.00
10-07Barclays · target189.00
10-05TD Cowen · “Hold” from “Buy”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
1 more company lists ICE as a comparable
Side by side:vs CME

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About Intercontinental Exchange

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) manages a global network of regulated financial venues, encompassing exchanges, clearing houses, and listing platforms. These operations serve diverse markets, including commodities, financial instruments, fixed income products, and equities, with a geographical footprint spanning key financial centers such as the United States, United Kingdom, European Union, Singapore, Israel, and Canada. The company's business is segmented into three core areas: Exchanges, Fixed Income and Data Services, and Mortgage Technology. Within its Exchanges segment, ICE oversees a robust network comprising 13 regulated exchanges and 6 clearing houses. These extensive marketplaces enable the listing, trading, and clearing of a wide spectrum of derivatives contracts and financial securities. This includes futures and options across diverse sectors such as energy, agriculture, metals, financials, and equities, in addition to providing critical listing, market data, and connectivity solutions. The Fixed Income and Data Services division provides comprehensive analytics and execution services for fixed income products, manages Credit Default Swap (CDS) clearing, and offers multi-asset class data and network solutions. Furthermore, its Mortgage Technology segment delivers an advanced, proprietary platform designed for residential mortgage origination. This division also provides closing solutions that streamline connections across the mortgage supply chain and facilitate secure information exchange, alongside data analytics and "Data as a Service" offerings for lenders to access vital origination insights. Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. was established in 2000 and maintains its headquarters in Atlanta, Georgia.

CEO
Jeffrey C. Sprecher
Headquarters
Atlanta, GA
Employees
12,725
IPO
2005-11-16
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.